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Tuesday, February 28, 2006

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» Of Bombs And Moderates from Sigmund, Carl, And Alfred
We can delude ourselves into the complacency of fools, if we choose. Nevertheless, reality will not accommodate our self indulgent fantasies. If we do not act, Iran will have a nuclear weapon and at some point, the Iranians will use that weapon. [Read More]

» Suicide Intellect - Who Legitimized Suicide in Islam? - by Ali Eteraz from Unwilling Self-Negation
The publication of my essay exposing the thought of Ali Shariati, the alleged architect of the Iranian Revolution, led me to seek out a computer. You should go to Identity Theory, to read the article, the first paragraph of which is: A thinker, when u... [Read More]

» Iran Admits Seeking Nuclear Weapons; Media Ignore It from Gina Cobb
This should be the biggest story this week: Iran has admitted that is is working to acquire nuclear weapons. All Things Beautiful has a detailed summary of the latest evidence. Please read it. Next time you read or hear a print or broadcast media repor... [Read More]

» Iran Admits Seeking Nuclear Weapons; Media Ignore It from Gina Cobb
This should be the biggest story this week: Iran has admitted that is is working to acquire nuclear weapons. All Things Beautiful has a detailed summary of the latest evidence. Please read it. Next time you read or hear a print or broadcast media repor... [Read More]

» POWERLINE - Thinking about Iran from Rocket's Brain Trust
HT Powerline via Instapundit RBT ***** Thinking about Iran It's time for some hard thinking on the subject of Iran's nuclear program. Specifically, the Bush administration must decide whether i... [Read More]

» BATTLE OF IDEAS - Part III - Iran's Admission Of Guilt from Rocket's Brain Trust
HT All Things Beautiful via Powerline RBT just linked to this piece by Alexandra von Maltzan from ATB in the thread from Powerline. I guess the heading would be more appropriate now as, The War of Information This i... [Read More]

Comments

Stefan

What does nuclear weapon capability mean to a country like Iran? Power. If you have nuclear weapons you suddenly carry a weight that commands respect in the sense that you are now considered extremely dangerous. The major cold war countries that have nukes (France, Great Britain, the USA, etc) generally have them as a deterrent to the old USSR. Those countries also have either powerful conventional militaries or belong to a network of allies who, if push came to shove, would fight in their defense, conventionally. Iran, by contrast, is a lone wolf with a strong, but still sub-par, conventional force which is still suffering from losses it took during the Iran-Iraq war. There are very few situations that would cause most western nations to even dream of actually using their nuclear arsenal but for countries like Iran, who are looking to be regional and national players overnight, it is their military and political “Golden Egg”. Iran dreams of becoming the first Islamic super-power and hopes to project its power in the middle-east and beyond. If they go to war they will find the world as its enemy, in which case their conventional forces are doomed. This will dramatically increase the temptation to actually use nuclear weapons in a strike of wild desperation or in an early attempt to decisively turn things in their favor before said arsenal is decimated. A gun in the hands of a stable, rational, and reserved human being is a still a dangerous weapon but it is not very likely to be used on another human except in a dire situation of last ditch self-defense. A gun in the hands of a desperate and wildly aggressive man, on the other hand, is deadly for anyone within range.

North by Northwest

Maede - Iran a threat? Yes of course. Who with any kind of insight doesn't think so. As Alexandra said, this isn't a partisan issue, let alone national paranoia; this is internationally acknowledged, wherever you look.

As to "embryonic stages of developing nuclear weapons": I wish you were right and would love to know on which source you are basing your optimism. In the meantime, all published indication suggests that they're much closer to 'unveiling' their bomb.

As Jeff over at Protein Wisdom said yesterday in response to the NYT OpEd 'We Can Live With a Nuclear Iran': "Posen’s entire essay is predicated on the idea that Iran is run by rational actors—and fails, likewise, to take into account the international pressure not to retaliate in kind should Iran take aggressive action.

Once again, this is an example of an intellectual refusing to take at their word the threats of his enemies. Could the world live with a nuclear-armed Iran? Well, the answer is, it might well have no choice, provided something isn’t done to curtain such a scenario.

But to suggest that a nuclear-armed Iran is less likely to use aggression—while always holding the nuclear card—is, it seems to me, quite optimistic. That, and it flies in the face of what Iran has said it wishes to do with nuclear weapons once it manages to gather them.

Most of the people of Iran don’t fall in lockstep with the mullacracy running the country; but that mullacracy—and the religious fervor of its current President—make Iran uniquely likely to launch a nuclear attack on Israel, which they will regard as doing God’s work.

But who knows. Perhaps beneath the theocratic bluster beats the pragmatic heart of global statesmen. The question is, are we willing to find that out?

meade

Does anyone here really believe that Iran, in the embryonic stages of developing nuclear weapons (maybe), is any kind of thread to US, Israel or anyone else who has several dozen or several thousand nuclear warheads?

Comeon!

The arguments used here are ludicrous. Iran's president says things that have resonance in his local political sphere.

The reality he faces, from Tehran, is that Israel or US could wipe out him, and his fellow Iranians, at any moment of their choosing.

Let him have his chest-puffing moment. Reality is not lost on him or his handlers, the Iranian mullahs.

The only place that Iran comes off as an enemy worthy this kind of attention is in the imagination of people who are scared of their own shadow.

Alexandra

Meade

"They are creating some security for themselves in a very insecure neighborhood."

And who has threatened Iran lately? Of course, I forgot, we, the U.S. And for what reason? Because we want to steal their Oil. Absolutely. Clearly nothing to do with orthodox Islam, ideology of Jihad, rampant anti-Semitism, Iran's geopolitical need to expand. Nothing to do with the current and former President's repeated desire to resolve the Jewish Question by wiping out Israel in one nuclear strike.

It's one thing to appease the threat and hope, as Churchill had put it, to be eaten last, there you can at least argue on the basis of a mutually recognized threat. It is quite another to be simply uninformed, hence the links.

Washington

Persia is not acting in her own self interest if she develops a weapon that will, by necessity, require a preeptive strike by the free nations of the world.

Iranian nuclear development is a danger to every one around the region and the country shall be dealt with accordingly. This is one country that does not get a free pass.

meade

Iran is guilty of nothing, except acting in her own interest, and the interest of her citizens.

What Iran is doing is nothing that wasn't done previously by Israel, India, Pakistan and others.

They are creating some security for themselves in a very insecure neighborhood.

North by Northwest

There is always a third option: Arrogance. The MSM can't be seen to pick up a story from a website in Germany, can they. It's all about positioning, whether it is from one of their 'exclusive' sources. It's hard to imagine that they really missed out on it, but given the port issue and Iraq uproar last week, it might just slipped by. Well done, Alexandra for bringing us this detailed insight.

TheRealSwede

Not suprising that the MSM would not pass this along. The only question is: Is it incompetence or design? More critical to me is whether our government has picked up on this, and are they treating it with due respect?

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