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Tuesday, March 28, 2006

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» Andy Card Resigns (Video) from The Political Pit Bull
From The Washington Post: White House Chief of Staff Andrew H. Card Jr. announced his resignation this morning after nearly 5-1/2 years as President Bush's top aide. Bush said Card will be replaced by Joshua B. Bolten, the director of... [Read More]

Comments

Joseph Marshall

Well, I don't know about triumphalism, since the results will hardly be a triumph for anyone, particularly for the families of the dead that have resulted from it.

But I would read the basic situation this way. The Republican House and Senate will abandon GBW, indeed are already starting to abandon GWB with, I suspect, a fair amount of private satisfaction, if with public unease at their diminishing electoral prospects.

The only thing that will turn this around is a significant and major foreign policy success which boosts the GWB poll numbers. GWB himself has admitted that this is not going to happen in Iraq for the next several years, and it is not likely to happen anywhere else.

If I were a Republican Senator or Congressperson, sticking a genial knife in the ribs of the White House at this point would please me no end, privately. The GWB political game from day one has been "what's mine is mine and what's yours is mine, too", even with his own Party. That comes back to haunt you, sooner or later.

The best those Republican legislators can now hope for is merely a diminished margin of Republican control in both Houses, the worst is a loss of both houses to a thin Democratic majority. In either case the Bush agenda [such as it now is, which is not very much or very clear] will be halted.

The immediate conundrum for them is how to keep the entire Hispanic voting population of the United States from being massively annoyed with them.

Most signs also are that scandal, and failure in the court system, will continue for the GWB practice of attempting to aggrandize the Presidency at the expense of the law.

The attempt to forstall Iran will continue to stall in the UN, and unilateral U.S. military action against Iranian facilities will not happen as long as the bulk of our ground troops are rotating through a deteriorating Iraq.

Israel will straighten itself out on its own. See the Myth of Palestine thread immediately below for details.

The geopolitical configuration of the Middle East will not change in any significant way until 2010 at the earliest. Neither will the standoff with North Korea. The major change, if it occurs, will be from Iranian nuclear success.

A decade or so hence, the serious conflict for 21st century hegemony will take place between the United States and China, probably by then under a Democratic administration, and the historical legacy of the Bush Administration will be that the worst damage, among much other damage, that it did to the state of America and the world came from its neglect of meeting the challenge of China.

And, finally, the high probability is that much desirable United States beachfront property will fairly rapidly become a good start on shoals for a mussel farm.

That's at least how I read the tea leaves, and despite the usual insinuations about my insincere love for this country, merely reading the tea leaves realisticly doesn't mean that I am looking at my cup of tea.

epaminondas

Joseph, Joseph , Joseph, there u go again ...

Why do I detect a note of triumpahlism at the thought of the irrelavance of not just an american govt, but in essence, america.

Just think of this, from the political strategist to the wonderful Ahmadi-nejad
"To hear Mr. Abbasi tell it the entire recent history of the U.S. could be narrated with the help of the image of "the last helicopter." It was that image in Saigon that concluded the Vietnam War under Gerald Ford. Jimmy Carter had five helicopters fleeing from the Iranian desert, leaving behind the charred corpses of eight American soldiers. Under Ronald Reagan the helicopters carried the corpses of 241 Marines murdered in their sleep in a Hezbollah suicide attack. Under the first President Bush, the helicopter flew from Safwan, in southern Iraq, with Gen. Norman Schwarzkopf aboard, leaving behind Saddam Hussein's generals, who could not believe why they had been allowed live to fight their domestic foes, and America, another day. Bill Clinton's helicopter was a Black Hawk, downed in Mogadishu and delivering 16 American soldiers into the hands of a murderous crowd.

According to this theory, President George W. Bush is an "aberration," a leader out of sync with his nation's character and no more than a brief nightmare for those who oppose the creation of an "American Middle East." Messrs. Abbasi and Ahmadinejad have concluded that there will be no helicopter as long as George W. Bush is in the White House. But they believe that whoever succeeds him, Democrat or Republican, will revive the helicopter image to extricate the U.S. from a complex situation that few Americans appear to understand."

No american admin left or right, liberal or conservative, democratic or republican will ever be irrelavant, nor find domestic opprobium greater than those whose plans, plan for those who EXULT in that possible irrelevance. You only surrender the initiative to thoe who mean YOUR FAMILY and MINE physical harm because we believe differently. That issue, has no left or right. It's up to THEM, not us.

The Card change is probably irrelevant, as btw the UN has proven itself to be, and is doing so right now (again), to even the frustration of El Baradei

Joseph Marshall

Well, at the risk of boring my good conservative friends to tears, I would suggest that while Card is quite irrelevant, his boss is now very nearly as irrelevant as the developments on the immigration issue are currently demonstrating.

In Iraq, in Israel, in the United Nations, in American politics, in the world economy, and in the global environment events have now taken over from the Bush Administration, whose actual position in the world will become increasingly irrelevant as it dissolves into domestic opprobrium.

One can only hope that somewhere under the pile of shards from the bull's passage there's a piece or two of china left. If it is, we can dust it off, put it back on the shelves and start sweeping the floor.

rachy

If you like that sort of art check out M.K. Ciurlionis, amazing stuff. Lithuanian-Polish turn of century stuff. Btw., I'm not spam 'cos I'm not selling anything, just blogsurfing

http://neris.mii.lt/art/ciurlionis/chronol.html

Washington

Yawn indeed-that is exactly what Michelle Malkin said in her link to John-his post was spot on.

Baron Bodissey

I just finished reading a whole lot of material about what's going on in Afghanistan (the apostate Rahman, the influence of the warlords, opium production) and Iran (nukes, hanging "adulterous" women, etc.). Why does this stuff seem so uninteresting?

I suppose these Beltway types will be focusing on things like this until "prostitutes" start being hanged from lampposts on K Street. Or until a dirty bomb goes off in the port of Baltimore. Then they'll have something important to write about.

DavidByron

who has been around the White House so long she can remember when the British burnt it

And incidentally, you're welcome. Nothing like burning down the seats of power every now and then!

Michael (van der) Galien

On a personal note I would like to say that there is nothing wrong with looking 20 years old.

That I am 21 years old is completely irrelevant for that statement of course.

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