« The Devil's Arithmetic Part I | Main | The Juan Cole 'Bush-Israel' Derangement Syndrome »

Monday, July 17, 2006

TrackBack

TrackBack URL for this entry:
http://www.typepad.com/services/trackback/6a00d8345191b869e200d8342f9f8f53ef

Listed below are links to weblogs that reference The Devil's Arithmetic Part II:

» Hounding the Hell Out of Hizbullah and Hamas from A Blog For All
I was reading somewhere earlier that Iran may have miscalculated in the conflict because Hizbullah and Hamas are being decimated by Israel without any tangible improvement in Iran's strategic interests. In fact, losing their prime proxies in the regi... [Read More]

» Bush Cusses Hezbollah from Blue Star Chronicles
Somehow … mysteriously … in a private luncheon for the leaders of the G8 Summit … a microphone was on that picked up whatever President Bush said to others at the private luncheon [Read More]

» Hounding the Hell Out of Hizbullah and Hamas from A Blog For All
I was reading somewhere earlier that Iran may have miscalculated in the conflict because Hizbullah and Hamas are being decimated by Israel without any tangible improvement in Iran's strategic interests. In fact, losing their prime proxies in the regi... [Read More]

» Bread and Butter from The Heretik
George Bush can say a mouthful, even when he has a mouthful. What they need to do is get Syria to get Hezbollah to stop doing this shit, and its over, Bush says with his mouth full as he buttered a piece of bread. Who knew George ... [Read More]

» Pro-Israel rally in New York from Tel-Chai Nation
Here's the details on a pro-Israel rally that was held in NYC (Hat tip: Michelle Malkin). [Read More]

Comments

jess1dering

Saul,
I have enjoyed the site you referred me to above, for some time now. It's so full of clarity of thought and sanity. Rare comodities these days:)................and I've got the feeling that "we ain't seen nothing yet".
I'm off to read Daniel Pipes.
Thanks, Saul

Saul Davis

Jess: For another nice analysis on this topic, see Daniel Pipes' most recent article:

http://jewishworldreview.com/0706/pipes071906.php3;

As to Cole -- I liked your little ditty in commenting on the Cole article by Alexandra; nice touch; I would definitely not describe him as insightful -- how about incitefull? To deliberately skirt facts, he has to possess some honesty to recognize facts; since the excerpts of his writings that I have read demonstrate either complete dishonesty or residence in the twilight zone [most likely, the latter -- too much drinking from the Arabist fountain], I would not compliment him with the appellation of deliberately skirting facts.

jess1dering

Saul ,
Big grin over your correction.:)
I did read that and enjoyed it.I have bookmarked both sites. Great resources.:)
What do you make of Juan Cole ? Is he an insightful and highly intelligent ( wait, I can't type while laughing so hard. I just crack myself up !!!!) as I was saying, is he smart ,and an expert on the ME ,and deliberately skirting the facts OR is he a self-adulating ,semi-idiot who probably couldn't think his way out of a paper bag ?
His entire demeanor speaks of anything but strength, anything but character or conviction. Call me a meanie but i'd bet my bottom dollar that old Juan Cole'd be a quiet old soul if he were in disagreement with the terrorist murderers. OOOps...I mean, "terrorist murderers'
................................................
................................................
Oh yes, for a mind bending visit into the world of Juan and his compatriots visit Juan Cole.com

Saul Davis

Oops: should be "terrorist murders"; really must proof before posting.

Saul Davis

Jess: The blog heading is "Treppenwitz, the wisdom of the stairs[?], . . . "; the title of the article is: "A Difficult Lesson"; very apropos; I was directed to that article by Abbagav's blogspot; he's an American expat in Israel, who writes quite well; first time reading of David Bogner's blog (Treppenwitz), but I have bookmarked that blog and intend to revisit. I have not read/heard a better practical analysis in defense of Israel's war against the terrorist murderer's than Bogner's.

Ghost Dansing

What points are those Kenneth? Sounds like a puppy wanting to tear up the newspaper.

jess1dering

Saul Davis,
I enjoyed lots of good reading and have a few new bookmarks thanks to you. I'm not sure I read the piece you refer to ,though. Does it have a title ? And again, I thank you.

Kenny Pierce

Ghost,

I genuinely would be interested in that list of bullet points I mentioned, and not so that I could tear them apart. Just sayin'.

Saul Davis

Very briefly, see an excellant analysis at:
http://bogieworks.blogs.com/treppenwitz/2006/07/thanks_i_needed.html
through Abbagav.blogspot.com; read the whole article for a very realistic position regarding what Israel should do, and why the rest of the world should stay out of this one (wishful thinking).

jess1dering

.............................................
"What happened to us on September 11th showed the American people that we have to have a different kind of Middle East, and we're determined to have a different kind of Middle East."
Condoleeza Rice
..................................................
................................
Alexandra,
As usual, thanks for all of your thoughtful commentary and for the links. The above quote is taken from a link you provided. In so few words, it says it all for me.
I still haven't heard one suggested alternative solution to our current course of action from the nay-sayers.
There are , of course, no guarantees that our efforts will be met with success, but oh, I hope and pray that they are.

Ghost Dansing

"...highly biased and what is more completely inaccurate..." Interpretation: stuff nbn doesn't agree with or an unpleasant fact that doesn't fit Republican spin.

He want's quotes or references so he can dismiss it out of hand because it comes from the New York Times, or God forbid, an encyclopedia instead of some extremist propaganda source.

"..oh...that comes from the biased UN...oh...that came from the Encyclopedia Brittanica..."

The trully original thought is so rare that. Perhaps that is what should trully be in quotes.

The habits of Liberalism acknowledges multiple perspectives in human affairs, as well as historical and other contexts. The Liberal press and media has the nasty habit of being Liberal...and is therefore often "off message" and not rendering the partisan politicians themes accurately.

That one of the reasons it is so hated within the context of modern Republicanism.

If one reads the historical context for Syria and Lebanon...even part of it...there is much that can be seen. For example, the problems between the Arabs and Israelis have a history that predates the modern surge in Islamic Extremism, and include long struggles with European colonial imperialism...not to mention their own internal points of friction.

As far as the comments that are "uniquely" mine...Dubya is somewhat cartoon-like in his intellectual engagement with the situation, and one might as well proceed with a comic-book like approach including the really great looking Space Marine General depicted in Alexandra's art posting. He is awesome. I'd love to see him in action against the Orks!

jess1dering

Any thoughts on this little quote from another blog ?
*The problem is this: While Syria does not want to get hit and will not make overt moves, so long as the Syrians cannot guarantee supplies will not reach Hezbollah or that Hezbollah won't be given sanctuary in Syria, Israel cannot complete its mission of shattering Hezbollah and withdrawing. They could be drawn into an Iraq-like situation that they absolutely don't want. Israel is torn. On the one hand, it wants to crush Hezbollah, and that requires total isolation. On the other hand, it does not want the Syrian regime to fall. What comes after would be much worse from Israel's point of view.

jess1dering

In the 1920's , as the victors were deciding to whom the spoils would go, the Arabs gave us a little preview of their attitude toward "negotiation". The following is a quote from MID-EastWeb , ".... The British hoped to establish self-governing institutions in Palestine, as required by the mandate. The Jews were alarmed by the prospect of such institutions, which would have an Arab majority. However, the Arabs would not accept proposals for such institutions if they included any Jews at all, and so no institutions were created. The Arabs wanted as little as possible to do with the Jews and the mandate, and would not participate in municipal councils, nor even in the Arab Agency that the British wanted to set up. Ormsby-Gore, undersecretary of state for the colonies concluded, "Palestine is largely inhabited by unreasonable people.".....". Hmmmm, the more things change , the more they stay the same.

gringoman

Israel's Olmert, so far, is surprising and even impressing gringoVision. Are we seeing signs of "Roman with a kosher sensibility"? (vide previous g-comment?) What? Can it be?

Keyboard Rangers, monitor your battle stations!

Jeremayakovka

Crusader,
You speak of secret Iranian and Arab respest for Israel. I agree. Though I believe it's from the Jews' state power and bankable prosperity, and remians ignorant and disdainful (at best) of Judaism. Please provides examples to the contrary. (This is based largely on my friendship (rather, good-acquaintanceship) with a Jordanian family here in the US: grudging respect for Israelis, real displeasure at Palestinians.)

Alexandra,
an unprecedented thirst for answers - Love it when poetic phrases appear in news commentary, during the best of times and worst of times.

North by Northwest

Ghost,

Do us all a favor and finally put in blockquotes, or put inverted commas or italics or something when you copy paste like this. Right now we all have to divine what your personal comment might be.

I kinda politely tried to give you a hint the other day, by giving you a link to your entire comment (and so did Kenny before me regarding another comment) which you copy pasted from the highly biased and what is more completely inaccurate United Nations account of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict.

We all quote all the time, but it's confusing if no one can distinguish between your words and a quote from elsewhere, never mind that a link would also come in handy.

No offense intended, just would like to be able to read your comment properly. Cheers.

Liquid

It's important that Israel really shows strength now, so that it's neighbors understand it won't be bullied -- even by proxy!

Ghost Dansing

Wow, Dubya was talkin' with his mouth full into the microphone:

"What they need to do is get Syria to get Hezbollah to stop doing this shit, and it's over," Bush says with his mouth full as he buttered a piece of bread.

"Who, Syria?" asked Blair, standing next to the seated Bush.

"Right," Bush said. Within an hour, the remarks were broadcast on television stations, radio stations and websites around the world.

Meanwhile:

The State Department and White House warned Israel against any attack that could undermine the government of Lebanese Prime Minister Fuad Siniora. The officials said the fall of the Siniora government could reverse U.S. efforts to turn Lebanon into an independent country.

"We just continue to ask that the Israelis exercise restraint, be concerned about civilian casualties, be concerned of course about civilian infrastructure," Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said.

Nonsense I say! What would the Space Marine in the nice picture do? We all know...he would encourage Israel to continue to strike at the soft underbelly of Lebanon until she arrives at the Syrian border...then, with Israel's trusty ally America striking a flanking blow from the sea, thrust...thrust toward the heart of Damascus.

No marginal capitulation would be accepted...only total surrender. But wait! Are not the French and British to blame for the current state of affairs in Syria and Lebanon?

At the Versailles Peace Conference in 1919, Woodrow Wilson asked that the Arab claims to independence be given consideration, and Faysal was invited to present the Arab cause. His pleas were unavailing, as was a report recommending Syrian independence under Faysal or a United States mandate over the country. Disappointed by his failure at Versailles, Faysal returned to Damascus and declared again that Syria was nevertheless free and independent.

France and Britain refused to recognize Syria's independence, and the Supreme Allied Council, meeting in San Remo, Italy, in April 1920, partitioned the Arab world into mandates as prearranged by the earlier Sykes-Picot Agreement.

Syria became a French mandate, and French soldiers began marching from Beirut to Damascus. Arab resistance was crushed, and on July 25, 1920, the French took Damascus. Faysal fled to Europe and did not return to the Middle East until the British made him king of Iraq in 1921. Faysal's brother Abdullah was recognized by the British as the amir of the region that became known as Transjordan.

The boundaries of these states were thus drawn unilaterally by the European allies after World War I. Syria had experienced its brief moment of independence (1919-20), the loss of which Syrians blamed on France and Britain.

These events left a lasting bitterness against the West and a deep-seated determination to reunite Arabs into one state. This was the primary basis for modern Arab nationalism and the central ideological concept of future pan-Arab parties, such as the Baath (Arab Socialist Resurrection) Party and the Arab National Movement. Aspects of the ideology also were evolved in the 1950s and 1960s by Gamal Abdul Nasser of Egypt.

French-British rivalry in the Middle East continued after the two countries had divided the area into spheres of influence at San Remo. In their mandate, the French sought to increase their strength by supporting and separating religious minorities and thereby weakening the Arab nationalist movement.

France originally planned to establish three sectarian states: an Alawi state in the north, a Sunni Muslim state at the center, and a Druze state in the south. The three were eventually to be incorporated into a federal Syria.

France did create a Christian state in the area of Mount Lebanon. The Sunni Muslim state never materialized. Instead, in 1926 the French, working with Maronite leaders, expanded the original boundaries of the Christian state to create Lebanon.

To the east the valley of the Biqa, predominantly populated by Muslims, was added; to the west the Christian state was expanded to the coast and incorporated the cities of Tripoli, Beirut, Sidon, and Tyre.

The Syrians were an embittered, disillusioned people whose leaders kept them in ferment. Shaykh Salih ibn Ali led the Alawis in intermittent revolt, Shaykh Ismail Harir rebelled in the Hawran, and in the Jabal Druze, Sultan Pasha al Atrash, kinsman of the paramount chief of the Druzes, led continual resistance, most notably in 1925, as did Mulhim Qasim in the mountains around Baalbek. The revolts, however, were not necessarily expressions of desire for unified Syrian independence. They were uprisings by individual groups--Alawis, Druzes, and beduins--against foreign interference, comparable to those earlier fomented against the Ottomans.

Wow...almost sounds like the Balkans. But hey!

The capitulation of France in June 1940 brought Vichy-appointed General Henri Dentz as high commissioner and a new cabinet headed by Khalid al Azm, a wealthy landlord from an old Damascus family who was to play a leading role in Syrian politics 22 years later.

Despite continued German military successes elsewhere, British and Free French forces supported by troops of the Transjordan Arab Legion defeated the Vichy forces in both Syria and Lebanon. Control then passed to Free French authorities.

In January 1945, the Syrian government announced the formation of a national army and in February declared war on the Axis powers. In March the nation became a charter member of the United Nations (UN), an indication of its sovereign status, and, in April, affirmed its allegiance to the idea of Arab unity by signing the pact of the League of Arab States (Arab League).

The way in which the French left Syria, however, increased the already bitter feelings the Syrians had toward France. France was adamant in its demand that its cultural, economic, and strategic interests be protected by treaty before agreeing to withdraw the Troupes Speciales du Levant. In May 1945, demonstrations occurred in Damascus and Aleppo and, for the third time in 20 years, the French bombed and machine-gunned the ancient capital.

Serious fighting broke out in Homs and Hamah as well. Only after Britain's Prime Minister Winston Churchill threatened to send troops to Damascus did General de Gaulle order a cease-fire. A UN resolution in February 1946 called on France to evacuate. The French acceded and, by April 15, 1946, all French troops were off Syrian soil. On April 17 Syria celebrated Evacuation Day; the date is a national holiday.

With the departure of the French, however, unity among the leaders disappeared. Aleppines contested with Damascenes for dominance in commercial and political life; the Druzes pledged allegiance to Druzes, the Kurds to Kurds, and tribal peoples to tribal institutions.

Alawis, the poorest yet largest of the minorities, tried to rebel from Sunni Muslim control. Rural leaders contended with urban leaders; the progressive, increasingly secularized, younger generation vied with the older, religious-minded leaders. Politicians differed over the kind of government Syria should have--monarchy or republic, parliamentary or presidential democracy.

There were coups and counter coups, and of course support for Greater Syria, opposition to Jewish settlement in Palestine, and the 1917 Balfour Declaration in which Britain promised Jews a "national home" in Palestine (as part of the World War I promises to the Arabs and Jews), contributed to the growth of pan-Arabism as well as to the opposition to recognizing Israel as a legitimate Middle Eastern nation.

And then there was the Cedar Revolution and Syria left Lebanon, and now...well

So by all means we can agree with Dubya on this: Get the Syrians to get the hizbollah to stop the sh*t, and all will be well. Maybe the we could ask the French to help.

Liquid

Very true Alexandra, and if one thinks about the internal conflicts within Islam where many muslims disagree on the quran and their Islamic prophecy, inside all that confusion it's got to make most of them nervous because those apocalyptic muslims that acquire a nuke might consider even the muslims next door a Kafir; which they might feel the Mahdi wants taken out!

Alexandra

UPDATE: The gorgeous Pamela and my beloved NYC stand with Israel, [don't miss the photos and videos, and the call in to Rush audio] ignore the sour faced blonde frump on the podium, wearing the beige Mao Zedong suit and sporting the vinegar grin. She is upset because she is missing the pro-Hezbollah rally round the corner...

Kenny Pierce

Alexandra,

That's exactly what I was explaining to my Nepalese friend Deepak this morning -- every Arab government in the world other than Iran-puppet Syria and the pseudo-government of Gaza has figured out that Israel will never in a thousand years attack them and take over their countries -- but Iran would do that in a New York second given half a chance. The Arab world may hate the Jews with a blindless and scripture-inspired and insanely bloodthirsty passion, but the difference between the actual Jewish threat and the actual Persian threat is too unmistakable even for their hate-engorged myopia.

(Not all Americans can tell the difference between Iranians and Arabs, of course, as all those crazy Muslims look alike to the typical WASP. But the Arabs and Iranians sure know the difference.)

Alexandra

Liquid, great video....

Alexandra

The point at the moment seems to be that the Arab nations are quite happy to have Israel as the buffer between them and the nutty Mullahs in Tehran. They are not interested in gaining the territory presently known as Lebanon or Syria for that matter. They have traditionally always simply wanted to be left to exist in some sort of a peaceful co-existence of their own. Iran's ambitions may fire the masses up in certain parts but will not take the same stronghold amongst the fat cats in Saudi, or UAE such as Aman, Abu-Dhabi and Dubai, who jointly call the shots. They are in no way interested in backing Tehran in its crazy Caliphate ideas involving the Hezbollah unhinged brigade, and have a continuation of their more international life in mind, pre and post Ramadan, in Monaco, Paris and London. They have enough burkhas at home, when school is out they want to play, and that does not involve a Tehran controlled Islamist mother-ship.

It kind of puts the Arabs on the wrong side of Tehran on this one, and dare I say it, on the side of protecting their traditional 'buffer' Israel.

Liquid

I agree that the world should definately give up trying to stop Israel from defending itself, because in all honesty, if terrorist were kidnapping our soldiers or firing rockets into our cities--we wouldn't hesitate to kick some behind! Today I was reminded of THIS We didn't sit on our hands when we were attacked did we?

rich

Iran and Syria will fight to the last Palestinian, yes, even to the last member of Hezbollah. Their courage is there for all to see.

Israel must make sure that Hamas and Hezbollah (and thus Iran and Syria) cannot claim victory out of this, as they have in their other defeats.

That means hunkering down and plinking Hezbollah and Hamas targets for another month at least.

Asymmetrical warfare can be fought both ways.

The only way for Hezbollah and Hamas to win is if the outside world stops Israel from defending itself.

The pawns must be taken off the table.

Kenny Pierce

Michael,

The bit of the speech that leaped out at me was this one:

I highly value and appreciate the way the Opposition has been conducting itself in the Knesset these days. The human competition and personal rivalries are dissolved and instead our feeling of mutual responsibility arises, our sense of partnership, and primarily, our eternal love for our people and our land.

You know, coincidentally enough, that's just what I was about to say about Murtha and Pelosi and Dean and Kerry.

Michael van der Galien

Wonderful post Alexandra!

In the meantime, Olmert delivered a speech to the Knesses. I like the highlights: very passionate, determined and powerful:

"When missiles are launched at our residents and our towns, our answer will be war waged at full strength, with all determination, courage and sacrifice," he said.

"We are not looking for war or direct conflict, but if necessary we will not be frightened by it," added the prime minister.

Iran's influence in all of this, is extremely obvious. It cannot be ignored.
Just today the Jerusalem Post reports that the IDF took out a Zelzal 2 missile.

Hezbollah was carrying it in a truck to the Lebanese border to fire it at Israel. I dare not think about what might have happened if they were able to launch it successfully at Tel Aviv.

The thing? The Zelzal missile is made by Iran.

Iran must be stopped.

RunningRoach

Alexandra,

There is no question in my mind that the time is right to "take out" the mad Mullas in Iran and the boy King in Syria.

Wouldn't take very much.

Regards, JCC

Huan

souldrinkers


btw, those who talk about contain islamism are fools. unlike communism which promises a better life that cannot be demonstrated, islamism promises a better afterlife which cannot be disproven in this life.

Crusader.NoRegrets.

The vast majority of Iranians, and indeed Arabs, have a secret respect and admiration for Israel, that they dare not express. The "mobs" in the streets of Damascus were pitiful in number, when you consider that they are often paid to attend. (In contrast, Hitler never had to pay a German to attend a Nuernberg rally)

But these same people who admire Israel are also quite politically savvy, and know that because of their leaders' choices, they will suffer the consequences of war, an attitude any mature, legally responsible adult has. Hence the worst thing Israel can do now is appear weak, as only through the overthrow of the existing order in the ME can long-lasting prosperity be achieved.

What we are witnessing is a race against time. The Islamic holocaust mill turns, albeit slowly, hoping to outlast the forces of democracy, while the opposition also builds. The prize is the corpse of the ME. One thing is certain - the days of the Mullahs and the Baaths are numbered, and they know it. The can only keep a lid on the polar opposites of democratic and theocratic opposition for so long.

Within your lifetime, the moslem ME will rip itself to shreds. It is the hope of all who yearn to just live, and prosper as Israel has done, that the theocrats go down with the ship. Will the Mullahs across the ME ever stand trial for their crimes against humanity? Aye, there's the rub.

I suspect that de-Islamicisation may be too much to ask for, but an Internationally-imposed Islamic Reformation (including a rewriting of much in the Koran) will go a long way to ending the disease of genocidal Islamism.

If these things do not come to pass, then Islam as a political force will leave India, China, Russia, Israel and many other non-Islamic countries with no choice but massive killing and destruction, on a WWII scale, the Geneva Conventions be damned. Indeed you will see massive air raids that wipe out entire cities, with the middle finger extended firmly in the UN's direction.

The Islamic politicos need to know - they are living on borrowed time. Their future is entirely theirs to screw up.

igout

I can imagine no circumstances under which both Israel and Iran can continue to exist. Hopefully, the Israeli and US governments are sharing my lack of imagination right now. Sic 'em, jews!

The comments to this entry are closed.

Contributing Writer



The 2006 Weblog Awards Side_bar_quotes13288.gif



www www.allthingsbeautiful.com

Previous Posts


'Show Me The Bodies'

A World Apart

The Race For Souls

'Palestine: Peace Not Apartheid'....Eh?

Lost In Translation

Thug-In-Chief Ahmadinejad Caught Red-Handed

Hope In Fear

Playing The Board

UN's Fine Men Of Distinction

We Are All Jews Now Part II

Iran's Promise: 'Evolution From Life To Death'

Welcome To The Middle East, Israel

What If...

The 'Moral Equivalence Brigade' Reign Supreme

'Grapes Of Wrath' Revisited

Orwellian Moral Universe On Shabbat Hazon

Commander-In-Chief From Hell

'Can We Get Over It Already?' We Are All Jews Now

'Hezbollah Runs Lebanon' And 'Hamas Ready To Cut A Deal'

One Foot In Terror One Foot In Politics

UN's Global Mission: Reviving, Spreading And Fueling Rabid Anti-Semitism

The Devil's Arithmetic Part II

The Devil's Arithmetic Part I

Valerie 'Flame' Wilson Files 'Double Exposure' Suit

Pallywood Does Not Recognize Israel

Israel Cannot Succeed By Empowering Terrorists

The Middle Finger Salute To The 'Bush Lied People Died' Hysterics

Does Society Set The Standard For God's Law (BUMPED UP)

Codifying The Sanctity Of Marriage

Restoring Humility To Our National Psyche In The Face Of Nihilism

Big Love

What Does Iran Really Want

Out Of Time Part II

The Gospel Of Judas

The Waiting Bush Out Policy

Are Atheists America's Most Distrusted Minority?

The Myth Of Palestine Part II

What Do The Democrats Believe?

Powered by TypePad Pro

Favorite Blogs

...

 

American_Flag_blog3

I am a Proud Friend of Israel

Pajamas Media

Hugh Hewitt

Michelle Malkin

Power Line

little green footballs

Roger L. Simon

Ed Driscol

Instapundit

The Volokh Conspiracy

Regime Change Iran

The 101st Fighting Keyboardists

Power Line News

Stop the ACLU

Blogs For Condi

American Flag

GOP Bloggers

Blogs For Bush



The Cotillion