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Friday, May 18, 2007

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Jay Draiman, Energy Analyst

Selling Renewable Energy (Solar Etc.) Without Incentives
In short, we need to market solar as an investment that will save money while you own it and return most or all of your investment when you sell the building it's sitting on.

Chances are, as natural gas and oil prices go up, there will be a corresponding jump in your monthly electricity bill. So, instead of promoting a solar power system based on today's savings in electricity, we need to have easily understandable projections on what the savings will be over the life of a system. These numbers need to reflect what's really happening to the cost of energy!
Here are some ideas I'd like to share. First, we need to find a way to make renewable energy economically competitive without the tax incentives. We do this by answering the question: "What is the opportunity cost of not using solar to decrease your energy bill?"

There's something interesting I've found. There's a direct correlation among electrical rates, the cost of air conditioning a building, the heat index and the amount of sunshine on any given day. In other words, on the hottest, sunniest days, we use more electricity that costs more per kilowatt. So, why do we continue to promote average hours of solar production, when in fact (at least down here in California), we produce far more solar power per day during the heat of the summer when energy costs are highest, than we do in our temperate winter months when energy costs are lowest. A sound marketing approach would be to evaluate solar energy in "dollars" of production per year instead of in kilowatts. I'm sure there are some smart people out there who can match kilowatts of solar production on any given day of the year to what the rates will be (based on the projected costs of electricity).
Secondly, we should stop trying to sell a solar package as a "cost." In real estate, there is a principle that says anything affixed to real estate becomes an integral part of the real estate. Once a solar package is installed, it immediately increases the value of a property. So how can you predict how much more a building will be worth in 5-10 years with a package as opposed to without one? In the real estate appraisal business, there are three approaches to appraising a property. The market approach (what are comparable properties selling for), the reproduction cost (the cost of creating an identical building at current construction and material prices) and the actual original cost adjusted for inflation. In all three methods, there's a strong case that a system installed today will make the building worth more today and in future years.
We need some realistic numbers to predict how much more a property will be worth in the years following installation. I believe that if you sell a building 5-10 years after installing solar, you should recoup all of your investment in the system plus an added bonus. If the rumors are true, a residential system (using the market approach) adds $20 of value to a home for every $1 it saves on the electric bill.
For commercial appraisals, you would divide the income (savings) by a cap rate (which was about 9% at last report). A system that saves $2000 a year then would be worth $40,000 on a home or $25,000 on a business. But if the cost of electricity goes up (if that is remotely possible), then wouldn't the value of the solar power system increase as well? In reality, we are not selling something that costs — we are actually offering a financial investment that grows comparably with other forms of energy.
In short, we need to market solar as an investment that will save money while you own it and return most or all of your investment when you sell the building it's sitting on. In commercial real estate, they use a "Cash Flow Analysis" form as the tool to evaluate a building's value using the income approach. We need a similar tool for putting a value on solar. If solar makes sense with this approach, then just think of how much better the systems look when you add the tax advantages!
This approach also applies to the cost of Energy efficiency implementation.
Reducing operational costs increases the value of the business and or property.
Compiled by Jay Draiman, Energy analyst
12/1/2007

Jay Draiman, Energy Consultant

The Greedy Corporations and the Profit Hungry Shareholders

Honesty and integrity went out the window – anything goes

Corporate greed and the insatiable thirst to make a profit, to satiate shareholders share- holders’ profit expectations have changed American values, where anything is justified in order to derive enormous corporate profit and satisfy the expectations of the share-holders; maintain the image of profitable corporate America. It is a vicious cycle that feeds itself to ultimate disaster.

These attitudes have brought corporate executives to exercise the drive and mentality that anything goes, no holes barred.
Inflating earnings, hiding debts and liabilities, outright fraud and deception. Theft by executives, theft of corporate assets, graft, bribery, illegal contributions to politicians, trips, gifts and favors to politicians, crooked lobbying organizations.
Where and when does it all stop? When are Americans going to wake-up and realize they are on the path of disaster of magnitude proportions that will bring our downfall?

We still have honest ethical hard working people in America. Let us all rise and protest these money hungry actions and methods, before it is too late.

Work hard to better America, institute honesty and integrity.
It starts at the top – the politicians, the legal system, corporate America and progresses to the masses.

The media is not exempt. Honest reporting is a must, the public expects no less.
Exercising - Sincerity, honesty and integrity is a good beginning.

If you work hard, perform your duties sincerely and honestly, you will be able to earn a better profit/living. You will not have to worry about covering up for your wrongdoing and you will be able to sleep better at night, look at yourself in the mirror.

We should learn to respect each other.

Bring back family values.

Am I asking too much?

Jay Draiman, Northridge, CA – Sept. 24, 2007

PS
An essay concerning the origins, nature, extent and morality of this destructive force in free market economies. Definitions. Paradoxes and omissions in Adam Smith's original theory permit - encourage - greed without restraint so that in a very large society [USA] over two centuries it has become an undemocratic force creating precipitous inequalities; divisions in this society now approach a kind of wealth apartheid, and our values are quite unlike Smith's: this is an immensely wealthy society but it is not a humane society. Wealth and poverty are connected, in fact recent sociological theory shows our institutions routinely design inequality in, but this connection is largely avoided in texts and in the media, as is the notion that greed is a moral wrong. Problems created by greed cannot be solved by technology. We are also distracted by already-outdated environmental rhetoric, arguments that scarcities and human suffering follow from abuse of our ecology. Rather, these scarcities are the result of what people do to people. This focus opens practical solutions.

"The Social Responsibility of Business Is to Increase Its Profits." The future Nobel laureate in economics had no patience for capitalists who claimed that "business is not concerned 'merely' with profit but also with promoting desirable 'social' ends; that business has a 'social conscience' and takes seriously its responsibilities for providing employment, eliminating discrimination, avoiding pollution and whatever else may be the catchwords of the contemporary crop of re formers."
He wrote that such people are "preaching pure and unadulterated socialism. Businessmen who talk this way are unwitting pup pets of the intellectual forces that have been undermining the basis of a free society these past decades."
He argues that corporations add far more to society by maximizing "long-term shareholder value" than they do by donating time and money to charity.
He said "there is one and only one social responsibility of business-to use its resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud." That's the orthodox view among free market economists: that the only social responsibility a law-abiding business has is to maximize profits for the shareholders.
I said. But we have not achieved our tremendous increase in shareholder value by making shareholder value the primary purpose of our business. In my marriage, my wife's happiness is an end in itself, not merely a means to my own happiness; love leads me to put my wife's happiness first, but in doing so I also make myself happier. Similarly, the most successful businesses put the customer first, ahead of the investors. In the profit-centered business, customer happiness is merely a means to an end: maximizing profits. In the customer-centered business, customer happiness is an end in itself, and will be pursued with greater interest, passion, and empathy than the profit-centered business is capable of.
Many thinking people will readily accept my arguments that caring about customers and employees is good business. But they might draw the line at believing a company has any responsibility to its community and environment.
This position sounds reasonable. A company's assets do belong to the investors, and its management does have a duty to manage those assets responsibly. In my view, the argument is not wrong so much as it is too narrow.
First, there can be little doubt that a certain amount of corporate philanthropy is simply good business and works for the long-term benefit of the investors.
That said, I believe such programs would be completely justifiable even if they produced no profits and no P.R. This is because I believe the entrepreneurs, not the current investors in a company's stock, have the right and responsibility to define the purpose of the company. It is the entrepreneurs who create a company, who bring all the factors of production together and coordinate it into viable business. It is the entrepreneurs who set the company strategy and who negotiate the terms of trade with all of the voluntarily cooperating stakeholders—including the investors.
The shareholders of a public company own their stock voluntarily. If they don't agree with the philosophy of the business, they can always sell their investment, just as the customers and employees can exit their relationships with the company if they don't like the terms of trade. If that is unacceptable to them, they always have the legal right to submit a resolution at our annual shareholders meeting to change the company's philanthropic philosophy. A number of our company policies have been changed over the years through successful shareholder resolutions.
The Theory of Moral Sentiments. There he explains that human nature isn't just about self-interest. It also includes sympathy, empathy, friendship, love, and the desire for social approval. As motives for human behavior, these are at least as important as self-interest. For many people, they are more important.
When we are small children we are egocentric, concerned only about our own needs and desires. As we mature, most people grow beyond this egocentrism and begin to care about others-their families, friends, communities, and countries. Our capacity to love can expand even further: to loving people from different races, religions, and countries—potentially to unlimited love for all people and even for other sentient creatures. This is our potential as human beings, to take joy in the flourishing of people everywhere. Whole Foods gives money to our communities because we care about them and feel a responsibility to help them flourish as well as possible.
The business model that should be embraced could represent a new form of capitalism, one that more consciously works for the common good instead of depending solely on the "invisible hand" to generate positive results for society. The "brand" of capitalism is in terrible shape throughout the world, and corporations are widely seen as selfish, greedy, and uncaring. This is both unfortunate and unnecessary, and could be changed if businesses and economists widely adopted the business model that I have outlined here.
To extend our love and care beyond our narrow self-interest is antithetical to neither our human nature nor our financial success. Rather, it leads to the further fulfillment of both. Why do we not encourage this in our theories of business and economics? Why do we restrict our theories to such a pessimistic and crabby view of human nature? What are we afraid of?
Businesses such have multiple stakeholders and therefore have multiple responsibilities. But the fact that we have responsibilities to stakeholders besides investors does not give those other stakeholders any "property rights" in the company, contrary to those' fears. The investors still own the business, are entitled to the residual profits, and can fire the management if they wish. A doctor has an ethical responsibility to try to heal his/her patients, but that responsibility doesn't mean his/her patients are entitled to receive a share of the profits from her practice.
Many probably will never agree with my business philosophy, but it doesn't really matter. The ideas I'm articulating result in a more robust business model than the profit-maximization model that it competes against, because they encourage and tap into more powerful motivations than self-interest alone. These ideas will triumph over time, not by persuading intellectuals and economists through argument but by winning the competitive test of the marketplace. Someday businesses like these, which adhere to a stakeholder model of deeper business purpose, will dominate the economic landscape. Wait and see.
The first is that running a profitable business requires using soft values. It's easy to caricature the greedy profit-maximizing business owner as ruthless. But the best businesses are led by people who excel at soft values, who treat their customers and employees well. Business that treat customers and employees badly find it harder to thrive.
Running a family like a business destroys it. Running business like a family destroys it and leads to tyranny.

Purple Avenger

honest leadership and open government

I see Murtha and Cold Cash J. are still players. That part kinda squibbed out eh?

Minimum wage increase? Good deal if you're NOT a Samoan...

Ghost Dansing

Liberal bias in the media.... balony!

Something seems a little out of whack between the mainstream media and the American people. Take the arguments of the past few days over former President Jimmy Carter’s remarks about the Bush administration and the consequences of its particular brand of foreign policy. Carter didn’t attack President Bush personally, but said that “as far as the adverse impact on the nation around the world, this administration has been the worst in history,” which can’t really be too far out of line with what many Americans think.

In coverage typical of much of the media, however, NBC Nightly News asked whether Carter had broken “an unwritten rule when commenting on the current president,” and portrayed Carter’s words — unfairly it seems — as a personal attack on President Bush. Fox News called it “unprecedented.” Yet as an article in this newspaper on Tuesday pointed out, “presidential scholars roll their eyes at the notion that former presidents do not speak ill of current ones.”

The pattern is familiar. Polls show that most Americans want our government to stop its unilateral swaggering, and to try to solve our differences with other nations through diplomacy. In early April, for example, when the speaker of the House, the Democrat Nancy Pelosi, visited Syria and met with President Bashar al-Assad, a poll had 64 percent of Americans in favor of negotiations with the Syrians. Yet this didn’t stop an outpouring of media alarm.

A number of CNN broadcasts — including one showing Pelosi with a head scarf beside the title “Talking with Terrorists?” — failed even to mention that several Republican congressmen had met with Assad two days before Pelosi did. The conventional wisdom on the principal television talk shows was that Pelosi had “messed up on this one” (in the words of NBC’s Matt Lauer), and that she and the Democrats would pay dearly for it.

So it must have been a great surprise when Pelosi’s approval ratings stayed basically the same after her visit, or actually went up a little.

Or take the matter of the impeachment of President Bush and Vice President Cheney. Most media figures seem to consider the very idea as issuing from the unhinged imaginations of a lunatic fringe. But according to a recent poll, 39 percent of Americans in fact support it, including 42 percent of independents.

A common explanation of this tendency toward distortion is that the beltway media has attended a few too many White House Correspondents’ Dinners and so cannot possibly cover the administration with anything approaching objectivity. No doubt the Republicans’ notoriously well-organized efforts in casting the media as having a “liberal bias” also have their intended effect in suppressing criticism.
 
But I wonder whether this media distortion also persists because it doesn’t meet with enough criticism, and if that’s partially because many Americans think that what they see in the major political media reflects what most other Americans really think – when actually it often doesn’t.

Psychologists coined the term “pluralistic ignorance” in the 1930s to refer to this type of misperception — more a social than an individual phenomenon — to which even smart people might fall victim. A study back then had surprisingly found that most kids in an all-white fraternity were privately in favor of admitting black members, though most assumed, wrongly, that their personal views were greatly in the minority. Natural temerity made each individual assume that he was the lone oddball.

Link

Ghost Dansing

Mac, Joan is the cat's whiskers as far as I'm concerned.... here's more

At age 15, Joan Jett ran away from home. She helped form the Runaways after receiving a call from her boyfriend who was sleeping with her mother. She was so heartbroken to hear of the news that she took only one thing with her on the road; a picture of a juke box with her boyfriend standing beside it. Jett says she did this so she would always have something driving her toward success.

Near the end of the 1990s she worked with members of the punk band The Gits, whose lead singer and lyricist, Mia Zapata, had been raped and murdered. The results of their collaboration together was a live LP, Evil Stig and a single Bob, whose earnings were contributed to the investigation of Zapata's murder. To this end, the band and Jett appeared on the television show America's Most Wanted, appealing to the public for information. The case was finally solved in 2004, when Zapata's murderer was finally brought to trial and convicted.

Jett, a huge sports fan, still remained actively involved in the sports world. Her cover of “Love is All Around” (the theme song of The Mary Tyler Moore Show) became an anthem in women’s sports and was used by the NCAA to promote the Women’s Final Four, as well as the song "Unfinished Business" which was never commercially released. The "Mary Tyler Moore" song went into heavy radio play and became a number one requested song without an existing support CD. Jett supplied theme songs for the premiere ESPN X-Games and has contributed music to all the games since. She also sang the national anthem, by request of Cal Ripken Jr. (of the Baltimore Orioles) at the game in which he broke Lou Gehrig’s record. 

Bad Reputation

mac Brachman

GD: If only. I'm a broken-down middle-aged Jewish man, Midwest-dwelling; thank God my wife is nearsighted and loves me anyway. I love Joan Jett's music. Do you know (trivia) that Joan Jett is considered one of the finest guitarists in rock (male or female) and plays guitar right-handed even though she is LEFT-HANDED? Unlike other superb guitarists and bassists in rock history- Jimi Hendrix and Kurt Cobain of blessed memory, and Paul McCartney- all left-handed and all played or play left-handed. Shalom, Mac Brachman

Ghost Dansing

Psst.... Kenny..... go Democrat.... they like everybody! We even have our own Repubican wing that we call the Democratic Leadership Council.

For example, Kenny, you might like the Democratic Freedom Caucus:

The Democratic Freedom Caucus (DFC) is a progressive libertarian caucus within the Democratic Party. DFC members are libertarian in the sense that they advocate limited government on both personal and economic issues. They are progressive in the sense that they believe efforts to reduce government spending should be directed at programs designed to provide aid to the poor only to the extent that the economic conditions which made these programs seem necessary in the first place are reduced.

The Caucus Platform has four sections: personal liberty, economic liberty, limited government, and social responsibility. The reforms generally follow a populist bent towards small government with an emphasis placed on protecting workers and consumers from exploitation by the wealthy. The DFC, in contrast to some libertarian organizations, supports legislation aimed at protection consumers, workers, and the environment.

The members of the DFC are dedicated to advancing liberty within the Democratic party. Some reject the Republican party because of its big-business bias and social conservative base. Others believe that the Republican party under George W. Bush has completely abandoned the free-market and small government ideals that once attracted some advocates of freedom to the party, and that the fiscally responsible faction of the Republican party cannot have any influence in that situation, while the Democratic party has lost some of its more authoritarian elements and is seeking a new vision. The issue of the War in Iraq is also one of the major reasons why DFC members oppose working within the Republican party.

And just for the record, I didn't start out wanting to drag Milton Friedman through the mud.... it  just sort of turned out that way. I'm sure he was a nice man. But Paul Krugman was very civil in his critique, and I don't know if he's a nice man or not. I just think his criticisms are on the mark.

Mac is just so sensitive sometimes! But he is quite the stud muffin :)

Kenny

Me, earlier:

"But then I sort of have the impression that the Ghost doesn't value generosity or honesty in debate for its own sake; so she may not really grasp the point you're making."

The Ghost, subsequently:

"So mac, your argument amounts to Krugman is not a nice man and Friedman was? Whatever."

My impression, and my hypothesis, would both appear to have been accurate.

Gringo, I absolutely agree that with this immigration debacle the Republicans in general and Bush in particular are out to prove that no matter how politically moronic the Democrats get, they can be outdone if you try hard enough. And there's no question the Republicans are trying.

In fact (to resurrect an old chestnut), they're very trying.

Which is why I am unable to follow Ace's advice and send the Republicans a copy of the form by which I inform my county that I am un-registering myself as a Republican in order to protest the immigration "compromise" -- having never registered as a Republican to begin with. Ah, well. Neither party has ever cared what I thought in the past, so I got over it long ago and got used to my place on the political sidelines.

Ghost Dansing

NEW LONDON, Conn. (AP) - President Bush portrayed the Iraq war as a battle between the U.S. and al-Qaida on Wednesday and shared nuggets of intelligence to contend Osama bin Laden was setting up a terrorist cell in Iraq to strike targets in America.

Bush, who faces a public weary of war and is at odds with Democrats in Congress over funding troops, said that while the Sept. 11 attacks occurred in 2001, Americans still face a major threat from terrorists.

"In the minds of al-Qaida leaders, 9/11 was just a down payment on violence yet to come," Bush said during a commencement speech at the U.S. Coast Guard Academy in which he defended his decision to order a troop buildup in Iraq. "It is tempting to believe that the calm here at home after 9/11 means that the danger to our country has passed."

Dubya has indeed been very good for al-Qaida.... he fails to mention that it was his decision to prosecute a war in Iraq rather than keep the pressure on al-Qaida and the Taliban in Afghanistan that set the conditions.... destabilizing Iraq and making it possible for al-Qaida to gain a foothold in that chaos, while at the same time the Taliban becomes resurgent in Afghanistan.

He should have highlighted to the Coast Guard Academy that his is exactly the type of flawed, incompetent foreign policy they should be wary of as the leaders of tomorrow.

Ghost Dansing

More On Corporate Greed and Milton Friedman

....We have then this paradox. If the purpose of the corporation is to make a profit, as many have claimed, then the way that an employee fulfills her ethical obligation on the job is by promoting the corporation’s profit.

But despite Milton Friedman’s famous claim that the ethical obligation of business is profit, placing profit above all is precisely the definition of unethical behavior for the corporate context.

Ethical behavior in the corporate context means understanding that loyalty, honesty, relationships with your customers, your suppliers, your employers, your country, even the earth itself, are sometimes more important than short-term (or even long term) profits. Ethical behavior on the individual level means knowing when to buck the group norms, when to stand up for one normative system in opposition to another, when to violate the agency norm of setting aside your own sense of right and wrong and to selfishly follow your own lights; on the institutional level it requires building in safeguards against group think, limits to the pursuit of short-term profit, commitments to particular relationships and focus on products and services rather than stock market prices.....

....Even Milton Friedman acknowledg(ed) that pursuit of profit must be restrained by external legal norms of “deception and fraud,” although he does not explain why these violations differ from the additional ethical obligations he rejects. “There is one and only one social responsibility of business–to use it resources and engage in activities designed to increase its profits so long as it stays within the rules of the game, which is to say, engages in open and free competition without deception or fraud.” Milton Friedman, The Social Responsibility of Business is to Increase its Profits, The New York Times Magazine (September 13, 1970).

Link 

Milton Friedman helped create the monster of modern Republicanism characterized by this quote from the fictiional character Gordon Gecko in the movie "Wall Street", 1987.

"We make the rules, pal. The news, war, peace, famine, upheaval, the price of a paper clip. We pick that rabbit out of a hat while everybody sits around wondering how the hell we did it. Now you're not naïve enough to think that we're living in a democracy, are you, Buddy? It's the free market, and you're part of it."

Interestingly, the Government ultimately went after Enron because its illegal activity failed its shareholders and pensioners. It is interesting that this Republican administration would not intervene as the Federal Government, when California accused Enron of fraud and extortion in its energy rates.... an accusation later proven to be true by intercepts of actual communications.

Why wouldn't Dubya intervene on behalf of one of the largest States in the Union when a transnational corporation was extorting? Why wouldn't he even investigate?

Because in the scheme of modern Republicanism, the ONLY sin is failing the shareholders.... the only sins are activities that fail to make a profit.

(AP) A former top energy trader, considered the mastermind of Enron Corp.'s scheme to drive up California's energy prices, pleaded guilty Thursday to a federal conspiracy charge.

Timothy Belden, the former head of trading in Enron's Portland, Ore., office, admitted to one count of conspiracy to commit wire fraud and promised to cooperate with state and federal prosecutors as well as any non-criminal effort to investigate the energy industry.

"I did it because I was trying to maximize profit for Enron," Belden told U.S. District Judge Martin Jenkins....

Internal company memos, first released in May, describe how Enron took power out of California at a time of rolling blackouts and shortages and sold it out of state to elude price caps, according to documents obtained by investigators.

Enron bought California power at cheap, capped prices, routed it outside the state, and then sold it back into California at vastly inflated prices, authorities said. The so-called "ricochet" deals were designed to circumvent the California-only price caps on wholesale energy.

"The conspiracy charged in this information allowed Enron to exploit and intensify the California energy crisis and prey on energy consumers at their most vulnerable moment," said Deputy Attorney General Larry Thompson, head of the Justice Department's Corporate Fraud Task Force....

But Dubya wouldn't even intervene.... wouldn't even investigate. Why? Because they were fellow crooks following a corporatist philosophy of greed.

It's too bad the State of California cannot sue the President of the United States.

Ghost Dansing

Friedman was a free-trade fundamentalist; he often told businesses and organized interests seeking protectionist legislation and tariffs that their position was wrong; this included Big Steel, Big Auto, and numerous other industries.

Big assumption that their position was wrong mac.... I figure with sustained policies such as these by 2015 America will be producing lead pencils that it can sell on the street corner.... of course would charge extra for the service of sharpening them.... service industry based economy you know....

Laissez faire, non-interventionist policies are becoming even more detrimental in the age of globalization. Without governments standing up for the people, human capital will be exploited just like that..... as capital (more like cattle) to be bought and sold in the international market place.

World Net Daily 3/11/99 Michael Dorgan "… The allure of selling anything to 1.2 billion Chinese is so great that China has found it easy to manipulate the profit-hungry multinationals knocking on its door. American companies have pumped billions of dollars into China in hopes of hitting a bonanza, or at least preventing their competitors from gaining an advantage. But a new Commerce Department report reveals that few U.S. companies are actually making a profit in China. Worse, the report says, many American companies may be trading away their futures by swapping advanced technology for a toehold in a market that may forever remain closed to them. …``Despite several years of high-level investment in China . . . survey data and press reports indicate that relatively few U.S. companies are realizing profits or even a return on their investments in China,'' said the report, published by the department's Bureau of Export Administration and released with little fanfare in January. ``The potential effects of this on the U.S. economy include loss of jobs (which in the high-technology sector are typically high-wage positions), loss of capital or revenue that could be reinvested in the United States, decline in or loss of basic industries critical to the U.S. defense industrial base, and the potential for creating or enhancing foreign competitors where they might not otherwise exist,'' says the 99-page report, titled ``U.S. Commercial Technology Transfers to the People's Republic of China.'' …``Although China lags behind its neighbors as well as the United States, there are indications that China is catching up in some electronics-related sectors as a result of technology transfers,'' it said. ``Most technology transfers are in the form of component co-production and assembly as well as access to 'soft' technologies (processes, management techniques, accounting methods) derived from foreign technical assistance and training.'' …The report arrives at a time when U.S. and Chinese officials often cite mutually beneficial business ties as a solid foundation for relations, even though the ballooning U.S. trade deficit with China -- about $57 billion last year -- is a growing concern on this side of the Pacific….."

This is how the world looked from the U.S. after a decade or so of Friedman's ideas.... how do you think things are going today? Modern Republicanism is running on a great big plastic credit card, and China is the bank that issued it. 

 

mac Brachman

GD: You bore me when you don't infuriate me. Name-calling is no way to oppose Bush and his policies. Get a life and do something constructive.

Kenny: Thank you for your kind remarks.

One more thing about Milton Friedman in regard to GD's outrageous remark about telling "greedy corporatists what they want to hear": Friedman was a free-trade fundamentalist; he often told businesses and organized interests seeking protectionist legislation and tariffs that their position was wrong; this included Big Steel, Big Auto, and numerous other industries. GD, you are ignorant of economic and business history in this country. You're only good for invective-filled sound bites, full of ignorance. In other words, you are no better than Karl Rove and all the Republican politicians who follow his advice, and whom you presume to oppose. Shalom, Mac Brachman

Ghost Dansing

Dr. Olasky is also also a representative sample of psychological profile for extremist thinkers that I have pointed out here on ATB..... I think specifically to Alexandra on one occasion a few years ago.

Liberalism does not appeal to the likes of Olasky because hybrid notions of society repleat with compromise, tolerance and secular outlooks arise. Liberalism comes under attack from the extreme left, and extreme right. For the religious extremist, Liberalism does not allow enough trappings of religious influence in society, and for the Atheist extreme, Liberalism allows too many trappings of religion.

For the extremist, it must be either Atheism or rabid "christianity", Communism or Rabid laissez faire Capitalism.... every thought process is an "either-or" proposition. Either Goverment is everything, or it is nothing.... no sense of balance or pragmatic compromise.... only hyper-intellectualized idealism and ideology.

Modern Republicanism is the domain of right wing extremism..... that is why I've said repeatedly in this forum that America has far more to fear from rightest ideologues than leftest.

Dr. Marvin Olasky

Ghost Dansing

Modern Republicanism does have a problem with the idea of compassion, the common good, the American Constitution and the idea that even libertarians need government. Also, just as Islamic extremists want Sharia law as the law of the land, the core "christian" vote that has helped modern Republicanism in the last two decades is also ready to jettison secular government and create a "christian" state.

Here's were some of the lop-sided ideas for "compassionate conservatism" came from in the 80's and 90's

Marvin Olasky (born June 12, 1950) is a professor of journalism at the University of Texas, a leading conservative columnist (Creators syndicate), and the editor-in-chief of World magazine.

Born in Boston, Massachusetts into a Russian Jewish family, Olasky became an atheist at 14, shortly after becoming a Bar Mitzvah. In college, he discovered Communism and became a Communist in the early 1970s, after graduating from Yale University in 1971 with a B.A. degree in American Studies. By 1976, however, Olasky had become a born-again Christian, after questioning his atheism while reading Lenin and then the New Testament in Russian. Also in 1976, Olasky graduated with a Ph.D. in American Culture from the University of Michigan.

Olasky began working as a speechwriter and public affairs coordinator for DuPont in 1978, and in 1983 began teaching journalism at the University of Texas, becoming a full professor in 1993. His initial writings gave him to opportunity to win funding from the Bradley Foundation in 1989, allowing Olasky to begin his most famous work, The Tragedy of American Compassion, which was first published in 1992. Coldly received at first, the book soon gained the endorsement of William Bennett and Newt Gingrich, who gave a copy to every incoming Republican freshman representative in the 1994 Congress. Critics said the book was short on research and excessively reliant on anecdotal evidence; supporters said it was a key work defining "compassionate conservatism" as it relates to welfare and social policy. In it, Olasky argues that care for the poor must be the responsibility of private individuals and organizations, particularly the Christian church, instead of government programs like welfare. He suggests that government programs are ineffective because they are disconnected from the poor, while private charity has the power to change lives because it allows for a personal connection between the giver and the recipient.

In the 1980s and 1990s Olasky edited the 16-book Turning Point Christian Worldview series funded by Howard Ahmanson, Jr.'s Fieldstead Institute, which champions and funds the cause of "total integration of Biblical law into our lives." Ahmanson has funded four of Olasky's 30 books, and Michelle Goldberg, author of the book Kingdom Coming: The Rise of Christian Nationalism, places Olasky in a crucial role to Christian reconstructionism and dominionism, saying "I’m not sure whether he actually identifies himself as a Christian reconstructionist, but he’s very close to Christian reconstructionism." Olasky, however, calls himself a "Christian libertarian" and criticized Christian reconstructionism in one of his books, Standing for Christ in a Modern Babylon. Goldberg also notes that the phrase now associated with Republicans, "compassionate conservatism," is in the title of one of Olasky’s books, and that Olasky was an advisor on Bush’s first Presidential campaign, influencing not only the thinking of Bush, but the thinking of the Republican Party.

Marvin Olasky is one of the "great pseudo-intellectuals" that should be flushed down the toilet with the Bush administration and the rest of modern Republicanism. 

gringoman

Kenny,

Your assertion that the Democrats will demolish themselves by being themselves has merit. Unfortunately (for a rational Republic)their competition looks hell-bent on doing likewise to itself---unless you see the Republicans as managing to self-implode by a contrary method, i.e. too girly-menschen to be themselves. At any rate, gringoVision is taking a different look at this frazzled body politic today, searching out the ideological heart beat and clucking of multiple tongues: COMPASSIONISM, USA. The intro....


Is there an American 'ideology' today? A dominant, a commanding system of beliefs? Is there, as Princeton University's WorldNet defines it, "an orientation that characterizes the thinking of a....nation"?

Is there a reason why the Media must all but shriek the American deaths in Iraq, while remaining strangely mute or tongue-tied about the many, many more Americans killed by illegal aliens in the U.S.(half by drunk drivers) and the many, many, many more who are mangled to death on U.S. roads?
What could that reason be? Christianity? Free enterprise or capitalism? Conservatism or liberalism? But a number of citizens cotton to secularism, "progressivism," even socialism and atheism.

So much division. How can there be a national credo, just as there is no longer a truly national author, like Mark Twain? Is today's American brain now too Balkanized, as a tectonic shift in demographics and culture looms on the red-white-and-blue horizon?

Maybe not. Or maybe yes and no. A giant paradox of seeming contradictions, a system that contains all these discords, may be alive and well. Call it Compassionism.

'Compassionism'? Yes, the new American ideology (or emotive force, for those who prefer feeling to thinking). It's 'new' in the sense of being the most relevant and all-inclusive for today's politically correct Republic. It assimilates what normally is not assimilated, including even the mutually repellent. Whatever they call it, some will see in it---approvingly or disapprovingly--- elements of raw capitalism or "corporatism," Judeo-Christianity, and/or camouflaged communism or socialism, i.e. greed, God and God-less government.

In fact, it's not any single one of these three historic belief systems. Rather, it's an amalgam, an epic American fusion of all three. It integrates their normally separate approaches to social and political dogma. It hardly minds if some of its constituents loathe each other, berate each other, curse each other or just seem hopelessly incompatible at dinner parties. Let them "think" or "feel" or "opinionate" as they choose. It's more concerned with a bigger picture. Compassionism has a job to do and intends to do it. At bottom, that job is planetary, even if some fear that it's true goal, consciously or unconsciously, intended or un-intended, is to globalize away the USA. Compassionism today, through its news media, entertainment industry, courts, government, Business and Education, is revolutionizing everything inside U.S. borders, regardless of dissidents, hold-outs, traditionalists, heretics or outright un-believers. In fact few, if any, will admit to believing in it wholeheartedly. Communist/socialist elements fear or hate the capitalist and Christian elements, the capitalist or business interests rebuke the socialists, and Christians have issues with all of them. Nevertheless, contradictions and all, Compassionism thrives, taking what it needs from its separate non-believers, or semi-believers. It knows how to survive with hardly anyone fully believing in it. There are no parishioners, congregations, menorahs, devotees, church suppers or conversion ceremonies. This allows Christians, capitalists and socialists to feel untainted by each other. It's largely a faith without the faithful. As a dynamic, it's far more interested in results, not in whether a majority fully "believes" in it. Fanatics need not apply. Worship is not de rigeur. Heretics will not be burned at the stake or beheaded, especially if they are not too politically incorrect. Compassionism intends to rule and mandate, not excommunicate.....

[Complete at gringoman.com, including

* Early Compassionism: The Civil War.

* Landmark 1965 Immigration Bill. Did Senator Kennedy and elite Compassionists (Dems and Pubs) knowingly deliver U.S. demographics to the Third World? Or was it unconscious and un-intended?

* Al-Qaeda compares Russians (Communist) and Americans (Compassionist).

* Who began Compassionist "chain-migration" (immigrant's right to citizenship and entitlements for extended family)?

* Why Compassionists will not over-turn the Anchor Baby rule.

* Abortion and Compassionism

=====================================================================================

Forgive your enemies. It will annoy them----Oscar Wilde

=======================================================================================
Forgive your enemies, unless you voted for them----gringoman.

www.gringoman.com
Escaping Politically Correct

Ghost Dansing

The history of economic thought in the twentieth century is a bit like the history of Christianity in the sixteenth century. Until John Maynard Keynes published The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money in 1936, economics—at least in the English-speaking world—was completely dominated by free-market orthodoxy. Heresies would occasionally pop up, but they were always suppressed. Classical economics, wrote Keynes in 1936, "conquered England as completely as the Holy Inquisition conquered Spain." And classical economics said that the answer to almost all problems was to let the forces of supply and demand do their job.

But classical economics offered neither explanations nor solutions for the Great Depression. By the middle of the 1930s, the challenges to orthodoxy could no longer be contained. Keynes played the role of Martin Luther, providing the intellectual rigor needed to make heresy respectable. Although Keynes was by no means a leftist—he came to save capitalism, not to bury it—his theory said that free markets could not be counted on to provide full employment, creating a new rationale for large-scale government intervention in the economy.

Keynesianism was a great reformation of economic thought. It was followed, inevitably, by a counter-reformation. A number of economists played important roles in the great revival of classical economics between 1950 and 2000, but none was as influential as Milton Friedman. If Keynes was Luther, Friedman was Ignatius of Loyola, founder of the Jesuits. And like the Jesuits, Friedman's followers have acted as a sort of disciplined army of the faithful, spearheading a broad, but incomplete, rollback of Keynesian heresy. By the century's end, classical economics had regained much though by no means all of its former dominion, and Friedman deserves much of the credit.

I don't want to push the religious analogy too far. Economic theory at least aspires to be science, not theology; it is concerned with earth, not heaven. Keynesian theory initially prevailed because it did a far better job than classical orthodoxy of making sense of the world around us, and Friedman's critique of Keynes became so influential largely because he correctly identified Keynesianism's weak points. And just to be clear: although this essay argues that Friedman was wrong on some issues, and sometimes seemed less than honest with his readers, I regard him as a great economist and a great man.

Milton Friedman played three roles in the intellectual life of the twentieth century. There was Friedman the economist's economist, who wrote technical, more or less apolitical analyses of consumer behavior and inflation. There was Friedman the policy entrepreneur, who spent decades campaigning on behalf of the policy known as monetarism—finally seeing the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England adopt his doctrine at the end of the 1970s, only to abandon it as unworkable a few years later. Finally, there was Friedman the ideologue, the great popularizer of free-market doctrine....

Paul Krugman

So mac, your argument amounts to Krugman is not a nice man and Friedman was? Whatever. Krugman is more on the beam than Friedman, and as the prophet of a rightest, corporatist economic theosophy Friedman happens to be a lightening rod.... especially as many of his policies, adopted by modern Republicanism, fail.

Krugman does a very fair treatment of Friedman.... not ad hominem attacks at all:

One interesting footnote: although Friedman made great strides in macroeconomics by applying the concept of individual rationality, he also knew where to stop. In the 1970s, some economists pushed Friedman's analysis of inflation even further, arguing that there is no usable trade-off between inflation and unemployment even in the short run, because people will anticipate government actions and build that anticipation, as well as past experience, into their price-setting and wage-bargaining. This doctrine, known as "rational expectations," swept through much of academic economics. But Friedman never went there. His reality sense warned that this was taking the idea of Homo economicus too far. And so it proved: Friedman's 1967 address has stood the test of time, while the more extreme views propounded by rational expectations theorists in the Seventies and Eighties have not.....

Friedman and Schwartz claimed that the fall in the money supply turned what might have been an ordinary recession into a catastrophic depression, itself an arguable point. But even if we grant that point for the sake of argument, one has to ask whether the Federal Reserve, which after all did increase the monetary base, can be said to have caused the fall in the overall money supply. At least initially, Friedman and Schwartz didn't say that. What they said instead was that the Fed could have prevented the fall in the money supply, in particular by riding to the rescue of the failing banks during the crisis of 1930–1931. If the Fed had rushed to lend money to banks in trouble, the wave of bank failures might have been prevented, which in turn might have avoided both the public's decision to hold cash rather than bank deposits, and the preference of the surviving banks for stashing deposits in their vaults rather than lending the funds out. And this, in turn, might have staved off the worst of the Depression.

An analogy may be helpful here. Suppose that a flu epidemic breaks out, and later analysis suggests that appropriate action by the Centers for Disease Control could have contained the epidemic. It would be fair to blame government officials for failing to take appropriate action. But it would be quite a stretch to say that the government caused the epidemic, or to use the CDC's failure as a demonstration of the superiority of free markets over big government.

Yet many economists, and even more lay readers, have taken Friedman and Schwartz's account to mean that the Federal Reserve actually caused the Great Depression—that the Depression is in some sense a demonstration of the evils of an excessively interventionist government. And in later years, as I've said, Friedman's assertions grew cruder, as if to feed this misperception. In his 1967 presidential address he declared that "the US monetary authorities followed highly deflationary policies," and that the money supply fell "because the Federal Reserve System forced or permitted a sharp reduction in the monetary base, because it failed to exercise the responsibilities assigned to it"—an odd assertion given that the monetary base, as we've seen, actually rose as the money supply was falling. (Friedman may have been referring to a couple of episodes along the way in which the monetary base fell modestly for brief periods, but even so his statement was highly misleading at best.)

By 1976 Friedman was telling readers of Newsweek that "the elementary truth is that the Great Depression was produced by government mismanagement," a statement that his readers surely took to mean that the Depression wouldn't have happened if only the government had kept out of the way—when in fact what Friedman and Schwartz claimed was that the government should have been more active, not less.....

 

Kenny Pierce

Mac,

Kudos for that excellent comment comparing the generous and intelligent Friedman -- even though you disagree with him -- with the small-minded and vindictive Krugman.

Krugman, when attacking Friedman, always reminds me of the standard publicity tactic of mediocrities: attack a giant. People might notice you then just because they notice the giant...even if the giant himself takes no notice of you.

But then I sort of have the impression that the Ghost doesn't value generosity or honesty in debate for its own sake; so she may not really grasp the point you're making. But may I say, Mac, that having read your consistently cordial and generous comments for a couple of months now, it is not even the smallest of surprises to find that you remember Friedman principally not as "that guy I disagree with," but as, "that outstanding individual who always showed class in debate even when his opponents had none." Class recognizes class when it sees it, even when it sits on the other side of the aisle.

mac Brachman

GD: You're pushing it, pal. "Told corporatists what they wanted to hear"?? Friedman spent most of his life in academia or advising governments. He told liberals and simple-minded leftists what they didn't want to hear. He spent little or no time advising businessmen (or women) of any sort. Your term for persons who live in the world of business is apparently "greedy corporatists."
Apparently anyone who believes in a capitalist system or works in the business world is "greedy." I suppose you live as simply and in as little luxury as a Trappist monk. I saw Friedman debate Keynesians, Marxists, middle-of-the-road liberals, and anti-libertarians. I saw him react with equanimity when booed in public at supposedly civil debates. And I saw him tear the stuffings out of the arguments of self-righteous arguers, haters of "greedy corporatists" without lifting a finger, simply using his debating and rhetorical skills.

Apparently the Swedish academy, headquartered in what most people consider a social democracy that mixes capitalist and socialist economic models, is so in the sway of "greedy corporatists" that it awarded the Nobel Prize in economics to Friedman for this reason alone. You obviously have never read Friedman (you're too busy showing us how smart you are by quoting the Holy NYT, as if reading it were proof positive of your erudition and intelligence) or have grappled with his arguments. Instead, according to you, because he believed in free markets, he must be a toady to "greedy corporatists." I said previously that I'm in the moderate-to-liberal wing of the Democratic party and believe in a mixed economy myself. But I respect Friedman as an economic theoretician and polemicist even when I disagree with him. Krugman? Yes, I don't like him, GD. He doesn't argue, he attacks. He loves to insinuate and ascribe the worst motives to anyone who doesn't agree with his oh-so-enlightened left-liberal views. He is supposed to be a distinguished professor of economics, tenured at Princeton, but all I see is snarky cynicism and holier-than-thou invective in his columns (to quote Billy Joel ("Pressure"): NYT? I read it too, what does it mean? (Joel referred to Time magazine, but the same principle applies)). Friedman never relied on ad hominem attacks. He was cheerful and open-minded in debate. He had principles, even if I disagreed with many of them.

Obviously, you believe that all forms of capitalism are inherently evil, GD. Perhaps you can reasonably argue here in this blog how we can reorganize our economy along the ideas of Fidel Castro and Hugo Chavez to achieve greater prosperity and economic security.

Incidentally, the Friedman who "told greedy corporatists what they wanted to hear" was against the Vietnam war, called for an end to the military draft when this was a very unpopular position, believed that illicit drugs should be decriminalized, and was against restrictions on a woman's right to an abortion. So much for toadying to his audiences. GD, you infuriate me. But then, this is what I expect from a man (woman?) who, when someone (me) says that Jimmy Carter and others should be careful about calling someone the worst president ever; history often sees things in a different light 25, 50, or 100 years down the road (case in point: Richard Nixon: as an adolescent I worked hard for his impeachment and thought he was the worst president ever; history sees his accomplishments as well as his flaws without exonerating his role in needlessly prolonging the Vietnam war or promulgating Watergate; I've grown up and no longer see him as Satan incarnate; growing up- ever considered it, GD? You seem to have time to post any time day or night, 24/7; I have something called a full-time JOB and a FAMILY to take care of and if you notice I rarely post until late evening or on weekends and sometimes go weeks at a time without posting, due to the commitments of ADULT LIFE) and you deliberately miscontrue this as me saying that history will "vindicate" GWB. I no longer feel bound by my New Year's resolution to you or about you, GD, you go too far, and do not have the moral or intellectual honesty or courage to back it up. You can say whatever you want, but don't misconstrue others' arguments for your own narrow-minded ends. Shalom, Mac Brachman

Ghost Dansing

If Liquid were here, I'

d sho her this one
 

Ghost Dansing

So mac... you don't like Krugman or somethin' ? Friedman is only a celebrated economist because he told greedy corporatists what they wanted to hear. His economic philosophy is morally bankrupt and demonstrably in error.

There are typically a lot of facts in Krugman's articles that could be checked and refuted.... I don't see that happening an awful lot.... just diatribes against anybody who criticizes the Republican Princling. 

mac Brachman

One more thing, while I'm at it: Paul Krugman, der Gut Perfessor, has gone from reasoned economic debate to routine Bush-bashing. His columns are filled with invective, not argument (the same is true for the ad hominem attacks propounded by Dowd, RIch, et al.) I may even (as a moderately liberal Democrat) agree with much of their viewpoint. You can argue to doomsday that Bush is an a------ and that Karl Rove's attack-dog style of political rhetoric and perennial campaign-style attacks "started it"; it doesn't make it any more pleasant. I am particularly sick of Krugman's attacks on Milton Friedman. It is convenient that spineless Krugman, who never offers a public argument for debate unless he is cheered on by the awed, adolescent-leftist undergrads in his Princeton classes and the emotional-maturity equivalent of the herd of independent minds who read Krugman's NYT columns as Gospel, capital G intentional- no, he picks arguments with theoretical giants who are conveniently dead and cannot rebut for themselves.

I'm no free-market fundamentalist, and beyond his theories I have strong qualms with some of Friedman's behavioral choices when he was alive (advising the Chilean junta comes to mind), but there is no doubt that he is one of the two or three great macroeconomic theoreticians of the age, and Krugman is, well, Krugman, a tenured prof with a semiweekly soapbox in the Holy NYT. If Friedman were alive he would demolish Krugman and his arguments with less effort than it would take GD to brush a fly off his (her?) face; Krugman will not even be a pimple on 20th-21st Century economic theory, while Friedman's writings will be read and debated long after anyone remembers Paul (Latin for "small") Krugman's name. I'm not surprised that the little worm Krugman attacked Friedman at length in the NY Review of Books, and, having run out of epithets momentarily with which to attack Bush, has begun to continue his posthumous attacks on Friedman in his NYT sinecure.

GD, I question the wisdom of some of your choices for cutting and pasting on this blog. Shalom, Mac Brachman

igout

Kenny,

Sorry for not getting back sooner, but to reply:

Yes, I think the Democrats think these things; they may even be right, temporarily. If they get their way, hell will break loose, each and every American will feel it hard at the gas pump, and the Dems will pay. It won't be 100% their fault, but the enraged public won't be in the mood to split hairs.

However, our president, who apparantly thinks he's throwing a keg party and everybody C'Mon Over!, will save the Dems by bringing them millions and millions of new, in-house voters--which is what this sudden interest in family values on the part of the Polosi gang is really about.

Meanwhile we Native Americans--as we'll call people legally here before the great immigration reform of 07--will be history. Ipod, Superbowl and Hiphop will be our firewater.

Right now, I would really, really appreciate a Stalin. He had such a way with traitors.

Ghost Dansing

I just don't understand what the big deal is with Jimmy Carter saying that stuff about Dubya when everybody else agrees.

Jimmy, by the way, was only President for four years during a terrible terrible time to be President. He accurately identified dependency on Middle Eastern Oil as a MAJOR security issue.... a good call that has taken three decades to take seriously. He achieved a peace agreement between Israel and the Arabs in a situation that seemed intractable.

Also, he inherited a negative public opinion about military spending, a demoralized military and a build-down already in progress as a result of a decade in Vietnam, which left him will few military options in the face of an Iran that was in the throes of an Islamic revolution that was a reaction to failed American policies which included overthrowing an elected government and installing a King....

So, I wouldn't blame too much on Jimmy Carter. He is the mindless obsession of rightests because he is now rubbing their noses in their failed policies. 

mac Brachman

GD: Why don't you give me a break? It's well known I'm no fan of GWB, and I never said history will "vindicate" him. Those are your words, not mine. I said that Carter, who ascribes God-like powers to himself, has already determined once and for all time that GWB's is the "worst" in history. Surpassing the Philippines land grab of McKinley, or Wilson's ill-considered entry into WWI and subsequent promulgation of the 14 Points, or Carter's own Barney Fife-like (without the humor) stumbling between gentleness and Pekingese-style yipping at the Ayatollahs during Iran Crisis I...Please don't put words in my mouth. Incidentally, I just saw the headline on the web browser that your beloved Sage of Plains has backed off his God-like weekend remarks...I'll stop now because I'm dangerously tempted to renege on my New Year's resolution not to slam you, GD. Shalom, Mac Brachman

Ghost Dansing

GD: For once you quoted an NYT columnist who doesn't cause my teeth to grind reflexively (unlike Dowd, Krugman, and, usually, Rich). As for Jimmy Carter and Bush's rank among U.S. presidents, history will judge. GD, you seem to think that it's an established "fact" and JC is merely stating facts.

Give me a break mac.... defending this Republican administration at this point in time borders on the absurd..... I fail to see how "history" is going to vindicate its actions without major mental contortions.

Yesterday I did something risky: I ate a salad....

These are anxious days at the lunch table. For all you know, there may be E. coli on your spinach, salmonella in your peanut butter and melamine in your pet’s food and, because it was in the feed, in your chicken sandwich.

Who’s responsible for the new fear of eating? Some blame globalization; some blame food-producing corporations; some blame the Bush administration. But I blame Milton Friedman....

This isn’t simply a matter of caving in to industry pressure. The Bush administration won’t issue food safety regulations even when the private sector wants them. The president of the United Fresh Produce Association says that the industry’s problems “can’t be solved without strong mandatory federal regulations”: without such regulations, scrupulous growers and processors risk being undercut by competitors more willing to cut corners on food safety. Yet the administration refuses to do more than issue nonbinding guidelines.

Why would the administration refuse to regulate an industry that actually wants to be regulated? Officials may fear that they would create a precedent for public-interest regulation of other industries. But they are also influenced by an ideology that says business should never be regulated, no matter what.

The economic case for having the government enforce rules on food safety seems overwhelming. Consumers have no way of knowing whether the food they eat is contaminated, and in this case what you don’t know can hurt or even kill you. But there are some people who refuse to accept that case, because it’s ideologically inconvenient.

That’s why I blame the food safety crisis on Milton Friedman, who called for the abolition of both the food and the drug sides of the F.D.A. What would protect the public from dangerous or ineffective drugs? “It’s in the self-interest of pharmaceutical companies not to have these bad things,” he insisted in a 1999 interview. He would presumably have applied the same logic to food safety (as he did to airline safety): regardless of circumstances, you can always trust the private sector to police itself.

O.K., I’m not saying that Mr. Friedman directly caused tainted spinach and poisonous peanut butter. But he did help to make our food less safe, by legitimizing what the historian Rick Perlstein calls “E. coli conservatives”: ideologues who won’t accept even the most compelling case for government regulation....

Krugman, NYT, 21 May 2007 

 Dubya and this Republican administration will go down in history as the failed epitome of a failed political and social philosophy.

mac Brachman

A quick Google search has variously attributed the quote to Twain, Samuel Johnson, Voltaire, Abraham Lincoln, and "anonymous." Shalom, Mac Brachman

mac Brachman

GD: For once you quoted an NYT columnist who doesn't cause my teeth to grind reflexively (unlike Dowd, Krugman, and, usually, Rich). As for Jimmy Carter and Bush's rank among U.S. presidents, history will judge. GD, you seem to think that it's an established "fact" and JC is merely stating facts. This is not the case. Incidentally, Carter compounded his sanctimonious and presumptuous remarks about Bush by passing judgment on Tony Blair. Even the most left-wing of the British print media (the daily Guardian but not its more moderate Sunday sister, the Observer; the New Statesman; the Independent) have tempered their end-of-an-era criticisms of Blair with some praise. Carter, oafish boor that he is, can find nothing good to say about Blair, who isn't even an American. Some Peace Nobelist. Some diplomat.

Kenny: I like that quote. Was it Mark Twaiin who said that he'd rather remain silent and have others think him a fool than to open it and remove all doubt? Shalom, Mac Brachman

Ghost Dansing

Tom Friedman has a really really good piece in today's New York Times that highlights just how well Dubya and this Republican administration has done in the area of "success" with respect to ITS OWN OBJECTIVES in ITS OWN FOREIGN POLICY....

My point? If you don't like Jimmy Carter criticizing Dubya's administration, listen to everybody else....

Last week, President Bush appointed a “war czar,” Lt. Gen. Douglas Lute, to oversee everything we’re doing in Iraq and Afghanistan — which raises the question: Who was doing this job up to now? The answer, amazingly, is no one. We’re like a fine restaurant that has decided five years after it’s opened — and has lost most of its customers — that it might be good to hire a head chef. Better late than never. General Lute comes advertised as smart and tough. Good. I hope his first memo to the president starts like this:

Mr. President, if you look around the region, all those we’ve tried to isolate — Iran, Hamas, Hezbollah, the Iraqi insurgents and the Taliban — are stronger today than they were two years ago. We have to reassess our strategy, beginning by facing up to the fact that we’ve fundamentally altered the geopolitical landscape in the Middle East.

We brought down the hard walls that surrounded Iran by destroying Iran’s two archenemies — the Taliban in Afghanistan and Saddam’s regime in Iraq. As a result, we are dealing today with an emboldened, resurgent Iran, which has taken advantage of our good works to expand its economic, cultural, religious and geopolitical influence into Persian-speaking western Afghanistan and into Shiite Iraq.

With Saddam gone, none of the Arab states are strong enough to balance Iran. They are all either too weak or too dysfunctional. This means we have two choices. We can be the regional power balancing Iran, which will require keeping thousands of troops in the area indefinitely. Or we have to engage Tehran in a high-level dialogue, in which we focus on our mutual interests in stabilizing Afghanistan and Iraq. You have to choose, Mr. President: I can’t do my job if you don’t face the fact that our wars in Iraq and Afghanistan — and our energy gluttony — have empowered Iran.

NYT


Ghost Dansing

Dubya is the worst President ever, and this Republican administration is the worst administration ever.

Jimmy Carter just happens to be pointing it out.

Kenny, we were talking about official rhetoric.... not stuff posted by posters on the web.... big difference.

And I still maintain that the value of the rhetoric should be judged by the truth to which it points. Durbin's rhetoric really wasn't very far "out of the box".

I wasn't really sure what Corporal Antioch's point was. I think he is suggesting that this Republican administration militates toward corporate plutocracy and Constitutional issues are not their formost concern.... that would be a correct evaluation. 

Kenny

Mac,

Good ol' Jimmy has long been in dire need of meditation upon a particular text of Scripture, but the one I have in mind is one that is common to both your tradition and mine:

"Even a fool is considered wise...if he keeps his mouth shut."

mac Brachman

I also ended a sentence with a preposition. What's gotten into me today? Wish I could say it was hangover, but I rarely drink aside from Passover and half a glass on New Year's Eve. Just have to blame age and brain deterioration. Shalom, Mac B.

mac Brachman

Jeez! I mispelled "one" as "won"! Kenny, please don't tell your father! Shalom, Mac Brachman

mac Brachman

Sorry to go off topic, but I was wondering about the news all over the 'net and the Sunday papers: James Earl Carter, Jr., aka Jimmy, aka The Sage of Plains, has decreed that George W. Bush is the "worst president" in U.S. history. By now people know I'm no fan of GWB but even less of won of ol' Liver Lips, no matter how many Nobel Peace Prizes he whines and wheedles his way into. Shouldn't the Plains Sunday school teacher review that New Testament text about the motes in others' eyes and the beams in one's own? Happy Sunday (Sabbath to most of you Christians out there) and Shalom, Mac Brachman

Kenny

Ghost,

Okay, take a look at Corporal Antioch's rhetoric. (Ignore for the moment his apparently blaming LBJ's War on Poverty on, of all people, Dubya; just concentrate on his rhetoric.)

Do you see any problem with it?

Corporal Antioch

Why don't we call the Busheviks what they truly are ... Leninista Halliban.
Where's the NRA Strict Constitutionalists? Are there no Constructionists?

He Who Laughs Last
(NSPD 51 - HSPD 20): Bush Anoints Himself as the Insurer of Constitutional Government in Emergency

With scarcely a mention in the mainstream media, President Bush has ordered up a plan for responding to a catastrophic attack.

In a new National Security Presidential Directive, Bush lays out his plans for dealing with a “catastrophic emergency.”Under that plan, he entrusts himself with leading the entire federal government, not just the Executive Branch. And he gives himself the responsibility “for ensuring constitutional government.”

He laid this all out in a document entitled “National Security Presidential Directive/NSPD 51” and “Homeland Security Presidential Directive/HSPD-20.”

The White House released it on May 9.

Other than a discussion on Daily Kos led off by a posting by Leo Fender, and a pro-forma notice in a couple of mainstream newspapers, this document has gone unremarked upon.

The subject of the document is entitled “National Continuity Policy.”

It defines a “catastrophic emergency” as “any incident, regardless of location, that results in extraordinary levels of mass casualties, damage, or disruption severely affecting the U.S. population, infrastructure, environment, economy, or government function.”

This could mean another 9/11, or another Katrina, or a major earthquake in California, I imagine, since it says it would include “localized acts of nature, accidents, and technological or attack-related emergencies.”

The document emphasizes the need to ensure “the continued function of our form of government under the Constitution, including the functioning of the three separate branches of government,” it states.

But it says flat out: “The President shall lead the activities of the Federal Government for ensuring constitutional government.”

The document waves at the need to work closely with the other two branches, saying there will be “a cooperative effort among the executive, legislative, and judicial branches of the Federal Government.” But this effort will be “coordinated by the President, as a matter of comity with respect to the legislative and judicial
branches and with proper respect for the constitutional separation of powers.”

Among the efforts coordinated by the President would ensuring the capability of the three branches of government to “provide for orderly succession” and “appropriate transition of leadership.”

The document designates a National Continuity Coordinator, who would be the Assistant to the President for Homeland Security and Counterterrorism.

Currently holding that post is Frances Fragos Townsend.

She is required to develop a National Continuity Implementation Plan and submit it within 90 days.

As part of that plan, she is not only to devise procedures for the Executive Branch but also give guidance to “state, local, territorial, and tribal governments, and private sector owners and operators of critical infrastructure.”

The Secretary of Homeland Security (currently an Israeli citizen) is also directed to develop planning guidance for, “private sector critical infrastructure owners and operators,” as well as state, local, territorial, and tribal governments.

The document gives the Vice President a role in implementing the provisions of the contingency plans.

“This directive shall be implanted in a manner that is consistent with, and facilitates effective implementation of, provisions of the Constitution concerning succession to the Presidency or the exercise of its powers, and the Presidential Succession Act of 1947 (3 USC 19), with the consultation of the Vice President and, as appropriate, others involved.”

The document also contains “classified Continuity Annexes.”

NSPD 51 - HSPD 20 language was drafted by a NSA team under operation 'Uber Alles'.

Corporal Antioch

As for Iraq, and Who's on First, who gives a rip? (Google "General Paul Van Riper") DoD/DHS is simply the largest corporation, by far and away, on the planet, and the only corporation entirely supported by tax donations. In other words, the biggest casino, highest stake tables, largest house take. Pure profit. Infinite P/E. Capiche?

If it wasn't War of Iraq II, (a war so nice they waged it twice), it'd be War of Eurasia, War of Drugs, War of Poverty, War of Immigration, or War of Health Care.
It's all a grandiose con, and you don't need to be Spider Man to tingle the stench.

Corporal Antioch

Newt Gingrich riposted that Hillary Clinton and Barak Obama represented the greatest threat to Republicans in 2008, precisely because he wanted the media to focus on the two *least likely* Democrats to carry a majority of the electorate. Newt himself is trailing the field. Slick talkers don't twiddle the Neo-Zi joy stick, apparently.

Karl Rove riposted that Mark Foley was the reason the Republicans lost the Congress precisely because the damage was contained, already history, story of Onan, and like Jimmy Swaggart's "I have sinned", well out of existence. Karl himself is laying low, hoping the whirlwind of Wolfowitz and Gonzales won't sweep him up, like Toto, too.

Neo-Zi's sotus corruptus, literally catches the breath, whiff of brimstone.

Ghost Dansing

In March 2004, the acting attorney general distrusted Alberto Gonzales so much that he wouldn’t meet with him at the White House without a witness. Eight months later, President Bush promoted Mr. Gonzales from White House counsel to attorney general, the top law enforcement job in the land. The president is still standing by his man, ignoring Mr. Gonzales’s efforts to mislead Congress, his disregard for the Constitution and his gross neglect of even basic bureaucratic duties.

It’s a familiar pattern: Mr. Bush sticks by his most trusted aides no matter how evident it is — even to the Republican Congressional chorus — that they are guilty of incompetence, bad judgment, malfeasance or all three. (George Tenet, the director of central intelligence; Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld; and the Supreme Court nominee Harriet Miers spring to mind.)

Each time, we’re told Mr. Bush repays loyalty with loyalty. We’re told it’s a sign of character.

We don’t buy the explanation. The more persuasive answer is that Mr. Bush protects his embattled advisers because they are doing precisely what he told them to do....

....The more of these White House psychodramas we get to witness, the more obvious it is that Mr. Bush’s warm embrace is really a payoff to yes-men who didn’t challenge his orders or question ideology-driven policies. It is a cynical way to run the United States government. And, as Mr. Tenet’s recent book shows, it doesn’t even buy silence.

The fruits of modern Republicanism 

Ghost Dansing

 Well Kenny.... the Democrats are not as far "left" as the Republican myth suggests. They have a very strong center-right corporatist contingent with the "Clinton" wing; the DLC.

The polls showed that Dubya's handling of the war in Iraq was probably the largest factor in the Democratic sweep back onto the political field.... followed closely by dislike of Dubya himself.... collectively, I think the American People have seen also the "clay feet" of modern Republicanism in general. The Republican Party is, after all, all spin and no substance. They are all about Party loyalty, being "on message", and maintaining power at any cost including undermining the Liberal Democratic structures of the nation.

There are two other famous Political Parties in modern history that had similar agendas.... I think you know which ones those are, so you can fill in the blanks: N___ and C________.

Beginning just after George W. Bush's reelection, political analysts point to a number of factors and events that led to the eventual Republican defeat in 2006. It is generally agreed that the single most important issue during the 2006 election was the war in Iraq, and more specifically President Bush's handling of it.

Indeed, public opinion polling conducted during the days just before the election and the weeks just after it showed that the war in Iraq was considered the most important election issue by the largest segment of the public. Exit polling showed that relatively large majorities of voters both fell into the category of disapproving of the war or expressing the desire to withdraw troops in some type of capacity. Both brackets broke extremely heavily for Democrats. The issue of the war seemed to play a large part in the nationalization of the election, a departure from previous midterm elections, which tended to be about local, district-centric issues. The effect of this was a general nationwide advantage for Democrats, who were not seen as being as tied to the war as Republicans, led by George Bush, were.

Additionally, president Bush himself, seen as the leader and face of the Republican party, was a large factor in the 2006 election. Exit polls showed that a large chunk of the electorate had voted for Democrats specifically because of personal opposition to or dislike for Bush. The size of the segment that said it had voted specifically to support Bush was not as large. Opposition to Bush was based on a number of factors, these not limited to opposition to his Social Security plan, the slow response of his administration to Hurricane Katrina, his perceived inaction in the face of and association with rising gas prices, and as mentioned above, his continued commitment to the war.

Also, congressional approval, which had been slightly negative since before the 2004 election, began a steady drop beginning in March 2005. Congress's unprecedented and unpopular involvement in the Terri Schiavo case is often pointed to as the catalyst for this drop. Congressional scandals, such as the Jack Abramoff lobbying scandal, the sentencing of Duke Cunningham to over eight years in prison, the indictment of then House majority leader Tom DeLay, and the misconduct of Cynthia McKinney and William Jefferson, all continued to pull down congressional popularity. In the months leading up to the election, congressional approval ratings flirted with all-time historical lows. Because congress was controlled by Republicans, this high disapproval affected Republicans much more negatively than it did Democrats.

Democrats were successful in portraying the congress as a lazy and "Do-Nothing Congress." Truly, the congress had been in session much less than previous ones had[26] (including those under Republican control), and numerous public opinion polls showed that large majorities believed that the congress had accomplished less than normal. This too, took a toll on Republicans (as the leaders of the government).

The listed scandals were all dwarfed by the highly publicised Mark Foley scandal, which broke in late September and rapidly metastasized to include the House Republican leadership. Florida Representative Mark Foley, who ironically headed the House Caucus on Missing and Exploited Children, was found to have been making sexually lewd and highly inappropriate contacts online with male congressional pages, and it was soon found that members of the Republican leadership knew in some capacity of Foley's advances, yet took little action. The scandal allowed Democrats to adopt corruption as a campaign issue, and exit polls on election day showed that corruption remained an important issue, one that Democrats held an advantage on. In addition, many (at the time and after the fact) cited the scandal as an event that sealed the fate of the Republican congress. After the election, top Republican strategist Karl Rove specifically named the Foley scandal as the cause of the Republicans' loss of congress.

And, contrary to popular belief, the Democrats do have a political philosophy that is centrist in nature.... even Pelosi.

Prior to the election in July 2006 Democrats unveiled a six-point plan they promised to enact if elected with congressional majorities. The plan was billed the "Six for 06 agenda" and officially called "A New Direction For America" and compared to the 1994 Republican "Contract with America". The six-points of the plan include: "honest leadership and open government, real security, energy independence, economic prosperity and educational excellence, a healthcare system that works for everyone, and retirement security".

-Real security
In regards to "real security" they propose a "phased redeployment" of U.S. forces from Iraq, doubling the size of U.S. military special forces to capture Osama Bin Laden and destroy terrorist groups such as al Qaeda, and implementing the 9/11 Commission proposals to secure the national borders of the United States and screen every container arriving at U.S. ports.
-Economic prosperity and educational excellence
Democratic plans for economic prosperity include ending the congressional pay raise until the federal minimum wage is raised and withholding tax breaks from U.S. companies that outsource jobs to foreign countries. Within education they plan to cut college loan rates, expand federal grants, and ensure that funds used for college tuition are not taxed.
-Energy independence
The Democratic plan for achieving an end to American dependence on foreign countries for oil consists of repealing tax incentives given to oil companies, higher penalties for price gouging gasoline products, increasing tax incentives and funding for the research and development of technologies intended to improve fuel-efficiency and creating viable alternative fuel supplies such as biofuels.

By the way.... I cannot figure out what the obsession with granting amnesty to illegal aliens, but both Parties seem to want that. I like the idea of legal immigration, and our quotas should not be all Mexicans for two reasons. 1. They are fleeing from the kind of kleptocracy that Dubya would like to establish here in America; their incomes that they send back to Mexicon helps perpetuate that kleptocracy, and 2. They are simply being exploited by unethical Americans.

We may need Uncle John's Band to play at our American never-ending Party igout :)

Kenny

Hey, Ghost, I think you'll get a big kick out of this particular Peril post. I know that since you know me mostly from the ATB comments section you're accustomed to thinking of me as a sort of fellow-traveler of the Republicans, and you're used to disagreeing with me. But I think this one might very well make your day.

Kenny

Ghost,

I just want to make sure we really do agree on this one.

You agree that the Pelosi Congress really thinks the American people gave them a mandate to end the war, right?

And you agree that insofar as the American people expressed an opinion on the war during midterms, they expressed dissatisfaction with Bush's job of running it, right?

And you agree that of the people who were dissatisfied, there are some people who want to get out now because we can't/ought not win; some people who would like to win if we can, but aren't sure we can and are really not sure that we can do it with Bush in charge; and some people who would like to win and think we absolutely could win the thing with the appropriate tactics?

And finally, if the anti-war Democrats make the mistake of thinking that their minority opinion of what ought to be done about Iraq is something they've been "mandated" by the American people to do, they will almost certainly take actions that will please their anti-war base but will annoy and alienate the rest of America, right?

'Cause those were my main points and it sounds like you might actually agree with all of them. And that would be a first.

I feel I should emphasize that this means that it is possible to believe that Dubya is the Spawn of Satan and still agree with all of my main points, so that you'll feel able to agree with me with a clear conscience. ;-)

Kenny

Ghost, igout,

Nice to find myself largely agreeing with you, though in finding that I actually seem to agree to a certain degree with Paul Krugman, I am sufficiently shaken as to wonder where it is that I went wrong in my reasoning. Still, it's not difficult to correct for Krugman's inveterate, self-blinding question-begging epithets ("anti-American," for example, simply means, "daring to disagree with Paul Krugman," but that's the way Krugman habitually talks so it's not like we don't know how to correct for it). And having so corrected, one can easily see, I think, that Krugman understands something Pelosi doesn't: a great big chunk of America doesn't buy into the far-Left view of reality that dominates the Democratic Party these days, and the fact that the American voters have lost faith in Bush doesn't mean they've gained faith in the Left. Of course, being Krugman, he thinks that this is a sign that a great big chunk of the American people are on a grossly lower moral plane than himself, but as that is merely the standard delusion of those who know nothing but the Politics of Self-Congratulation, we can simply give him a indulgently pitying smile and move on.

And, igout, I wrote that post and sent it over to Alexandra before the news broke about the amnesty deal. I stand by my belief that the Democratic Congress is full of exceptionally stupid Democrats who are doing their best to destroy their own party -- but I should have noted, and failed to note, that the Republican Congress is even more full of even more exceptionally stupid Republicans, and if I had to pick which party's morons are likely to win the race to the bottom of the basement of the political outhouse, I think my money would have to be on the folks who thought Dennis Hastert was a great choice of leader rather than on those who put their faith in Nancy Pelosi. A tough choice, no question, but if it was my life that I had to bet, I'd take the Republican Congress in the Dunce Pool.

Which, again, puts me in agreement with the Ghost, and that is always a pleasant change of pace.

igout

Get with the program, Alexandra. Democrats along with many clueless Republicans are about to vote themselves a whole new American people. And then the party will never end.

Ghost Dansing

Nice article Kenny. However you overlook the fact that the Democrats are more entertaining, and far more harmless than any modern Republican governmental cocktail (molatov) that can be dreamt-up as a follow-on to the "conservative" opus that is the Bush administration.

However, Paul Krugman does see it your way in this morning's NYT:

I’ve been looking at the race for the Republican presidential nomination, and I’ve come to a disturbing conclusion: maybe we’ve all been too hard on President Bush.

No, I haven’t lost my mind. Mr. Bush has degraded our government and undermined the rule of law; he has led us into strategic disaster and moral squalor.

But the leading contenders for the Republican nomination have given us little reason to believe they would behave differently. Why should they? The principles Mr. Bush has betrayed are principles today’s G.O.P., dominated by movement conservatives, no longer honors. In fact, rank-and-file Republicans continue to approve strongly of Mr. Bush’s policies — and the more un-American the policy, the more they support it.

Now, Mr. Bush and Dick Cheney may have done a few things other Republicans wouldn’t. Their initial domestic surveillance program was apparently so lawless and unconstitutional that even John Ashcroft, approached on his sickbed, refused to go along. For the most part, however, Mr. Bush has done just what his party wants and expects.

There was a telling moment during the second Republican presidential debate, when Brit Hume of Fox News confronted the contenders with a hypothetical “24”-style situation in which torturing suspects is the only way to stop a terrorist attack.

Bear in mind that such situations basically never happen in real life, that the U.S. military has asked the producers of “24” to cut down on the torture scenes. Last week Gen. David Petraeus, the U.S. commander in Iraq, circulated an open letter to our forces warning that using torture or “other expedient methods to obtain information” is both wrong and ineffective, and that it is important to keep the “moral high ground.”

But aside from John McCain, who to his credit echoed Gen. Petraeus (and was met with stony silence), the candidates spoke enthusiastically in favor of torture and against the rule of law....

Link 

It's really not about Dubya.... it is about modern Republicanism.... and their was a mandate in November 2006. But you're right Kenny.... it wasn't only about the war.

No wonder Americans reflect on the good old days of Bill Clinton.... it would be nice to have trysts in the Oval Office as our only point of concern.

....what about the Bush administration’s trademark incompetence? In appointing unqualified loyalists to key positions, Mr. Bush was just following the advice of the Heritage Foundation, which urged him back in 2001 to “make appointment decisions based on loyalty first and expertise second.” And the base doesn’t mind: the Bernie Kerik affair — Mr. Giuliani’s attempt to get his corrupt, possibly mob-connected business partner appointed to head the department of homeland security — hasn’t kept Mr. Giuliani from becoming the apparent front-runner for the Republican nomination.

What we need to realize is that the infamous “Bush bubble,” the administration’s no-reality zone, extends a long way beyond the White House. Millions of Americans believe that patriotic torturers are keeping us safe, that there’s a vast Islamic axis of evil, that victory in Iraq is just around the corner, that Bush appointees are doing a heckuva job — and that news reports contradicting these beliefs reflect liberal media bias.

Oh, I'm not saying that Republicans will never again win an election.... just that they will continue to be wrong adding to a long history of demonstrated wrongness.... far more dangerous, and far less entertaining than the Democrats. Rightest ideas have skewed Liberal Democracies in the past, sometimes to the point of no return. I just hope America swings no farther right than center right, and will always be a Liberal Democracy. 

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Previous Posts


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